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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 August 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 23
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 609 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-08-17All recent draws2019-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 15 17 21 23 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

677times
885times
15106times
1797times
21

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$247.5Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$37.4K
  • Match 3 + Powerball58%NZ$142.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$34.9K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$32.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

89times
2393times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

285times

Every number was expected about that many times after 608 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 15, 21, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 April 2015 — its closest relative in 608 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2019): 6 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

90

The numbers add up to 90 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 16 by chanceNZ$1,483
  • Match 4 + Powerball692≈ 670 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,529≈ 9.5k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball40NZ$103
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball919NZ$38.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 692 winners, 3% more than the 670 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$1,483
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball40NZ$103
    Match 4 + Powerball692NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball919NZ$38.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,529NZ$15.00
    Totals11,199—