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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 October 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 35
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 415 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-10-07All recent draws2017-10-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 24 29 33 35 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

457times
1570times
2463times
2961times
33

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$269.1Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball17%NZ$44.5K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$147.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$40.6K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$36.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
3568times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

253times

Every number was expected about that many times after 414 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 29, 33, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 August 2017 — its closest relative in 414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2017): 35 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$10,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball15≈ 17 by chanceNZ$2,055
  • Match 4 + Powerball696≈ 692 by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,835≈ 9.8k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$117
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball902NZ$45.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 696 winners, 1% more than the 692 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$10,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball15NZ$2,055
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball48NZ$117
    Match 4 + Powerball696NZ$64.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball902NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,835NZ$15.00
    Totals11,496—