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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 March 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 15
  5. 20
  6. 33
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 773 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-03-13All recent draws2021-03-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 10 15 20 33 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 116 of each

3111times
4110times
10124times
15135times
20

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$321.8Kto 14k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$45.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball54%NZ$174.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$43.6K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$57.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

120times
33104times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

478times

Every number was expected about that many times after 772 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 10, 15, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 December 2020 — its closest relative in 772 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 20 by chanceNZ$1,206
  • Match 4 + Powerball831≈ 820 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,657≈ 12k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$29,934
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball65NZ$93.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,117NZ$39.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 831 winners, 1% more than the 820 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$29,934
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$1,206
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball65NZ$93.00
    Match 4 + Powerball831NZ$55.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,117NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,657NZ$15.00
    Totals13,689—