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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 5 January 2022

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 32
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 857 of 1,352 under them

← 2022-01-01All recent draws2022-01-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 17 32 37 38 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 128 of each

9124times
15144times
17141times
32127times
37

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$343.2Kto 14k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$52.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball51%NZ$175.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$47K
  • 3 other tiers20%NZ$67.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

120times
38114times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

596times

Every number was expected about that many times after 856 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 32, 37, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 May 2019 — its closest relative in 856 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball14≈ 20 by chanceNZ$1,564
  • Match 4 + Powerball850≈ 824 by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,719≈ 12k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$39,728
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$124
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,044NZ$45.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 850 winners, 3% more than the 824 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$39,728
    Match 5 + Powerball14NZ$1,564
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$124
    Match 4 + Powerball850NZ$62.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,044NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,719NZ$15.00
    Totals13,677—