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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 22 October 2022

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 29
  5. 33
  6. 34
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 940 of 1,352 under them

← 2022-10-19All recent draws2022-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 9 15 29 33 34 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 141 of each

6142times
9134times
15160times
29151times
33

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$436.8Kto 18k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$64.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball52%NZ$225.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$61.8K
  • 3 other tiers19%NZ$85.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

133times
34127times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each

685times

Every number was expected about that many times after 939 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 9, 29, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 May 2016 — its closest relative in 939 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball24≈ 26 by chanceNZ$1,364
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,002≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball15,049≈ 15k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$22,428
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball71NZ$106
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,507NZ$41.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,002 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$22,428
    Match 5 + Powerball24NZ$1,364
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball71NZ$106
    Match 4 + Powerball1,002NZ$64.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,507NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball15,049NZ$15.00
    Totals17,655—