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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 36
  5. 37
  6. 39
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$21,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 620 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-09-25All recent draws2019-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 15 36 37 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

579times
1397times
15110times
3692times
37

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$702.6Kto 29k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$107.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball53%NZ$370K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$105.2K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$119.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

95times
3986times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

287times

Every number was expected about that many times after 619 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 May 2019 — its closest relative in 619 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2019): 5, 15 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$21,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball39≈ 42 by chanceNZ$1,389
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,656≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball24,668≈ 25k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$52,016
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball115NZ$118
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,337NZ$45.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,656 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$21,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$52,016
    Match 5 + Powerball39NZ$1,389
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball115NZ$118
    Match 4 + Powerball1,656NZ$65.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,337NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball24,668NZ$15.00
    Totals28,816—