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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 3 July 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 31
  5. 38
  6. 39
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$8,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 595 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-06-29All recent draws2019-07-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 22 31 38 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

198times
15104times
2289times
3186times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$309.3Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 276lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$42K
  • Match 3 + Powerball48%NZ$147.2K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$46.9K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$73.1K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3983times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

459times

Every number was expected about that many times after 594 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 22, 31, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 January 2019 — its closest relative in 594 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$8,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 17 by chanceNZ$1,229
  • Match 4 + Powerball636≈ 690 by chanceNZ$66.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,816≈ 9.8k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$23,467
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$104
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball872NZ$45.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 636 winners, 8% fewer than the 690 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$8,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball2NZ$23,467
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$1,229
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$104
    Match 4 + Powerball636NZ$66.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball872NZ$45.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,816NZ$15.00
    Totals11,403—