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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 25 September 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 31
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$18,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 619 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-09-21All recent draws2019-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 15 21 22 31 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

394times
578times
15109times
2191times
22

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$488.1Kto 22k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 269lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$73.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$271.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$66.2K
  • 3 other tiers16%NZ$77.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

96times
3192times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

357times

Every number was expected about that many times after 618 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 22, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 August 2018 — its closest relative in 618 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$18,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball41≈ 31 by chanceNZ$958
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,410≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$52.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball18,073≈ 18k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$29,314
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$95.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,890NZ$35.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,410 winners, 11% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$18,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$29,314
    Match 5 + Powerball41NZ$958
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$95.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,410NZ$52.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,890NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Powerball18,073NZ$15.00
    Totals21,509—