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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
NZ · ball game
Latest drawSaturday, 10 October 2026
JackpotNZ$6,000,000
Top prizeNot won
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 10 Oct 2026, 18:37 UTC.
6 numbers from 1–40, plus 1 from 1–10. 1,350 draws held here since 2011-11-12.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Powerball come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Powerball already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,350 draws every number is expected about 203 times, and a ball favoured by more than 26% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 7 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 20 or more. It is never “due”.

The 6 numbers add up to about 123, give or take 26. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

57.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

780 possible pairs, each expected together 26.0 times so far — and about 8 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 40 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

65% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 21.1% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 5.9 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 27 draws for every one of the 40 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

38,383,800 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,350 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 6, the highest near 35. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

6/40 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 13% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 6/40 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 6-of-40 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 27, 35, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 March 2024 — its closest relative in 1,349 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 3 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 979 winners, 3% more than the 947 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 + Powerball | 0 | NZ$6,000,000 |
| Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball | 2 | NZ$18,209 |
| Match 5 + Powerball | 23 | NZ$1,341 |
| Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball | 54 | NZ$138 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 979 | NZ$68.00 |
| Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball | 1,379 | NZ$47.00 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 13,468 | NZ$20.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus plus Powerball | 10,787 | NZ$12.00 |
| Totals | 26,692 | — |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 1 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 5.4 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 50 | 61.0 |
| 2–3 | 44 | 43.4 |
| 4–5 | 35 | 30.8 |
| 6–7 | 26 | 21.9 |
| 8–9 | 18 | 15.6 |
| 10–11 | 14 | 11.1 |
| 12–13 | 10 | 7.9 |
| 14–15 | 4 | 5.6 |
| 16–17 | 5 | 4.0 |
| 18–19 | 2 | 2.8 |
| 20+ | 3 | 7.0 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,348 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 5, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 March 2017 — its closest relative in 1,348 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 83 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 4–5, 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,347 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 23, 25, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 February 2023 — its closest relative in 1,347 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,346 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 5 of 6 numbers (5, 12, 19, 21, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 September 2022 — its closest relative in 1,346 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2026): 38 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,345 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 29, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 September 2026): 4 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 92 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 202 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,344 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 7, 23, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 July 2022 — its closest relative in 1,344 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 September 2026): 23, 34 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 83 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,343 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 16, 23, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 January 2026 — its closest relative in 1,343 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,342 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 22, 25, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 April 2026 — its closest relative in 1,342 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 August 2026): 25 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 78 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,341 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 5, 20, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 March 2022 — its closest relative in 1,341 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,340 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 14, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 August 2021 — its closest relative in 1,340 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 August 2026): 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,339 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 22, 37, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 June 2026 — its closest relative in 1,339 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 August 2026): 20, 37 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,338 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 20, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,338 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →