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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 3 February 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 14
  5. 15
  6. 18
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 239 of 1,352 under them

← 2016-01-30All recent draws2016-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 11 14 15 18 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd50th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

527times
1030times
1128times
1440times
15

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$124.2Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball4.6%NZ$5.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball85%NZ$105.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball5.6%NZ$6.9K
  • 2 other tiers5.1%NZ$6.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
1845times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

723times

Every number was expected about that many times after 238 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 15, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 December 2015 — its closest relative in 238 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 41% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 January 2016): 10, 14 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball24≈ 15 by chanceNZ$236
  • Match 4 + Powerball634≈ 617 by chanceNZ$9.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,773≈ 8.8k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball33NZ$21.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball767NZ$9.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 634 winners, 3% more than the 617 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball24NZ$236
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball33NZ$21.00
    Match 4 + Powerball634NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball767NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,773NZ$12.00
    Totals0—