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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 22 December 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 25
  4. 27
  5. 28
  6. 31
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$16,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 540 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-12-19All recent draws2018-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 25 27 28 31 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

1078times
1597times
2580times
2774times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-22

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$653.9Kto 28k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$99.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$365.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$91.1K
  • 3 other tiers15%NZ$98.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

76times
3174times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

349times

Every number was expected about that many times after 539 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 25, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2018 — its closest relative in 539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$16,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball33≈ 41 by chanceNZ$1,307
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,773≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball24,340≈ 24k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$44,493
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball93NZ$116
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,221NZ$41.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,773 winners, 4% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$16,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$44,493
    Match 5 + Powerball33NZ$1,307
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball93NZ$116
    Match 4 + Powerball1,773NZ$56.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,221NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball24,340NZ$15.00
    Totals28,461—