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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 30 May 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 12
  4. 13
  5. 15
  6. 28
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 690 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-05-27All recent draws2020-06-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 12 13 15 28 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

2106times
499times
12106times
13106times
15

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$367.4Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$58.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$209.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$52.2K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$47.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

121times
28101times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each

1060times

Every number was expected about that many times after 689 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 12, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2018 — its closest relative in 689 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball20≈ 24 by chanceNZ$2,048
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,028≈ 982 by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,966≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$114
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,410NZ$37.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,028 winners, 5% more than the 982 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball20NZ$2,048
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball54NZ$114
    Match 4 + Powerball1,028NZ$57.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,410NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,966NZ$15.00
    Totals16,478—