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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 18 October 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 22
  6. 32
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$14,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 417 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-10-14All recent draws2017-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 14 15 22 32 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

1161times
1370times
1468times
1571times
22

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$347.2Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 273lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$53.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$198.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$49.5K
  • 2 other tiers13%NZ$46.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

55times
3264times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

739times

Every number was expected about that many times after 416 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 22, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 March 2017 — its closest relative in 416 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2017): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14, 14–15. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$14,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball23≈ 22 by chanceNZ$1,762
  • Match 4 + Powerball968≈ 928 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball13,200≈ 13k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball57NZ$104
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,269NZ$39.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 968 winners, 4% more than the 928 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$14,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball23NZ$1,762
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball57NZ$104
    Match 4 + Powerball968NZ$55.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,269NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball13,200NZ$15.00
    Totals15,517—