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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 24 August 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 32
  5. 38
  6. 39
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 297 of 1,350 under them

← 2016-08-20All recent draws2016-08-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 17 32 38 39 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

1451times
1555times
1749times
3241times
38

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-24

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$120.7Kto 9.5k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.7%NZ$6.9K
  • Match 3 + Powerball81%NZ$97.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball7.1%NZ$8.5K
  • 2 other tiers6.1%NZ$7.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
3946times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

328times

Every number was expected about that many times after 296 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 38, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2016 — its closest relative in 296 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 August 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 38–39. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 14 by chanceNZ$344
  • Match 4 + Powerball529≈ 574 by chanceNZ$13.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,161≈ 8.2k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball23NZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball777NZ$11.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 529 winners, 8% fewer than the 574 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$344
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball23NZ$34.00
    Match 4 + Powerball529NZ$13.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball777NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,161NZ$12.00
    Totals0—