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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 28 September 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 27
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$14,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 307 of 1,351 under them

← 2016-09-24All recent draws2016-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 15 27 37 38 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

344times
538times
1558times
2750times
37

Prize breakdown · 2016-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$160.7Kto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 277lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.4%NZ$8.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball82%NZ$131.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball7.0%NZ$11.2K
  • 3 other tiers6.0%NZ$9.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
3840times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

434times

Every number was expected about that many times after 306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 15, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2016 — its closest relative in 306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2016): 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$14,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 19 by chanceNZ$234
  • Match 4 + Powerball723≈ 769 by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,932≈ 11k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$4,406
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball36NZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball931NZ$12.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 723 winners, 6% fewer than the 769 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$14,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$4,406
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$234
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball36NZ$29.00
    Match 4 + Powerball723NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball931NZ$12.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,932NZ$12.00
    Totals0—