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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 28 October 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 28
  6. 33
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$12,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 211 of 1,352 under them

← 2015-10-24All recent draws2015-10-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 23 24 28 33 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd50th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1432times
1538times
2327times
2431times
28

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$138.8Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 274lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.2%NZ$7.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$114.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.5%NZ$9K
  • 2 other tiers5.7%NZ$7.9K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
3337times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

719times

Every number was expected about that many times after 210 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 23, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 October 2015 — its closest relative in 210 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 23–24. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$12,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball31≈ 16 by chanceNZ$227
  • Match 4 + Powerball654≈ 672 by chanceNZ$11.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball9,557≈ 9.6k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball34NZ$25.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball902NZ$10.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 654 winners, 3% fewer than the 672 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$12,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball31NZ$227
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball34NZ$25.00
    Match 4 + Powerball654NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball902NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Powerball9,557NZ$12.00
    Totals0—