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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 29 September 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 24
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 35
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$6,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 516 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-09-26All recent draws2018-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 24 29 32 35 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

1593times
1995times
2475times
2980times
32

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$383.6Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$59.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$213.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$57.5K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$53.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
3583times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

453times

Every number was expected about that many times after 515 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 24, 29, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 October 2017 — its closest relative in 515 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2018): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$6,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball27≈ 24 by chanceNZ$1,703
  • Match 4 + Powerball956≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball14,249≈ 14k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball62NZ$115
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,307NZ$44.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 956 winners, 5% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$6,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball27NZ$1,703
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball62NZ$115
    Match 4 + Powerball956NZ$62.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,307NZ$44.00
    Match 3 + Powerball14,249NZ$15.00
    Totals16,601—