Number 11

In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.

13times drawn · chance expected 11 +0.53σ

58draws waiting · a wait this long: 1% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0

28longest completed wait · 83% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 13 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +0.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 58 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 13 times in 158 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 58 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 6.8
2nd smallest5 · chance 4.9
3rd smallest1 · chance 1.2
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 43 63 1 10 14

Never drawn alongside 35 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 32 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-03-20	1	1st	11 20 51 55 63
2026-03-17	5	2nd	4 11 18 38 50
2026-02-27	7	1st	11 18 39 43 67
2026-02-03	1	2nd	5 11 22

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.