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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–70.
Drawn 16 times in 158 draws against 11.3 expected, +1.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 158 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 56 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 69 numbers; chance expects about 27 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 56 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 36th most popular of 70. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 56 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 56 is drawn with probability 5/70 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-04-21 | 24 | 4th | 136435658 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2 | 4th | 420385666 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2 | 4th | 847505670 |
| 2026-01-13 | 23 | 3rd | 1640566466 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2 | 5th | 1118315156 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2 | 5th | 921274856 |
| 2025-10-10 | 1 | 5th | 318233256 |
| 2025-10-07 | 16 | 5th | 1726334556 |
| 2025-08-12 | 9 | 4th | 18315667 |
| 2025-07-11 | 10 | 5th | 1223243156 |
| 2025-06-06 | 16 | 4th | 1640545657 |
| 2025-04-11 | — | 4th | 1537385658 |