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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega Millions · draw
ResultMega Millions
Jackpot$227,000,000
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025draw 151 of 151 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 16 Sept 2026, 12:10 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 150 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (36, 43, 58) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 April 2026 — its closest relative in 150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 221 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 178. Side-by-side numbers: 57–58. 26% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,055 winners, 8% fewer than the 7.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Mega Ball | 0 | $227,000,000 |
| Match 5 (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $10,000,000 |
| Match 5 (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $5,000,000 |
| Match 5 (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $4,000,000 |
| Match 5 (3x Multiplier) | 0 | $3,000,000 |
| Match 5 (2x Multiplier) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 1 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $40,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 0 | $30,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 1 | $20,000 |
| Match 4 (10x Multiplier) | 5 | $5,000 |
| Match 4 (5x Multiplier) | 12 | $2,500 |
| Match 4 (4x Multiplier) | 22 | $2,000 |
| Match 4 (3x Multiplier) | 27 | $1,500 |
| Match 4 (2x Multiplier) | 49 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 2 | $2,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 23 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 42 | $800 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 86 | $600 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 128 | $400 |
| Match 3 (10x Multiplier) | 207 | $100 |
| Match 3 (5x Multiplier) | 437 | $50.00 |
| Match 3 (4x Multiplier) | 876 |
| $40.00 |
| Match 3 (3x Multiplier) | 2,162 | $30.00 |
| Match 3 (2x Multiplier) | 3,373 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 207 | $100 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 402 | $50.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 776 | $40.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 2,033 | $30.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3,109 | $20.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 1,639 | $70.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 3,256 | $35.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 6,503 | $28.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 16,165 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 24,580 | $14.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 4,090 | $50.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 8,233 | $25.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 16,467 | $20.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 41,604 | $15.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 61,654 | $10.00 |
| Totals | 198,171 | — |