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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega Millions · draw
ResultMega Millions
Jackpot$277,000,000
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025draw 154 of 154 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 26 Sept 2026, 12:55 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (57, 58) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2026 — its closest relative in 153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2026): 68 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 275 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 178. Side-by-side numbers: 57–58, 67–68. 26% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →67 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Mega Ball — 6,527 winners, 9% fewer than the 7.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Mega Ball | 0 | $277,000,000 |
| Match 5 (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $10,000,000 |
| Match 5 (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $5,000,000 |
| Match 5 (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $4,000,000 |
| Match 5 (3x Multiplier) | 0 | $3,000,000 |
| Match 5 (2x Multiplier) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $40,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 2 | $30,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3 | $20,000 |
| Match 4 (10x Multiplier) | 4 | $5,000 |
| Match 4 (5x Multiplier) | 8 | $2,500 |
| Match 4 (4x Multiplier) | 18 | $2,000 |
| Match 4 (3x Multiplier) | 41 | $1,500 |
| Match 4 (2x Multiplier) | 61 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 11 | $2,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 26 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 35 | $800 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 102 | $600 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 148 | $400 |
| Match 3 (10x Multiplier) | 242 | $100 |
| Match 3 (5x Multiplier) | 489 | $50.00 |
| Match 3 (4x Multiplier) | 948 |
| $40.00 |
| Match 3 (3x Multiplier) | 2,344 | $30.00 |
| Match 3 (2x Multiplier) | 3,643 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 200 | $100 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 417 | $50.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 773 | $40.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 2,084 | $30.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3,053 | $20.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 1,592 | $70.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 3,266 | $35.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 6,526 | $28.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 16,342 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 24,466 | $14.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 4,219 | $50.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 8,339 | $25.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 16,901 | $20.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 42,344 | $15.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 63,454 | $10.00 |
| Totals | 202,101 | — |