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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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VinciCasa · every number

9

Number 9

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

95times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.35σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 67% for any number
7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
30longest completed wait · 86% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 4 draws now

5 draws: 2024-09-27 to 2024-10-0226 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-289 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-061 draws: 2024-11-06 to 2024-11-076 draws: 2024-11-07 to 2024-11-131 draws: 2024-11-13 to 2024-11-145 draws: 2024-11-14 to 2024-11-191 draws: 2024-11-19 to 2024-11-2016 draws: 2024-11-20 to 2024-12-0621 draws: 2024-12-06 to 2024-12-272 draws: 2024-12-27 to 2024-12-293 draws: 2024-12-29 to 2025-01-0114 draws: 2025-01-01 to 2025-01-152 draws: 2025-01-15 to 2025-01-178 draws: 2025-01-17 to 2025-01-2516 draws: 2025-01-25 to 2025-02-103 draws: 2025-02-10 to 2025-02-131 draws: 2025-02-13 to 2025-02-146 draws: 2025-02-14 to 2025-02-201 draws: 2025-02-20 to 2025-02-211 draws: 2025-02-21 to 2025-02-2225 draws: 2025-02-22 to 2025-03-192 draws: 2025-03-19 to 2025-03-214 draws: 2025-03-21 to 2025-03-254 draws: 2025-03-25 to 2025-03-293 draws: 2025-03-29 to 2025-04-011 draws: 2025-04-01 to 2025-04-023 draws: 2025-04-02 to 2025-04-0510 draws: 2025-04-05 to 2025-04-151 draws: 2025-04-15 to 2025-04-164 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-04-206 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-04-2612 draws: 2025-04-26 to 2025-05-085 draws: 2025-05-08 to 2025-05-1312 draws: 2025-05-13 to 2025-05-2516 draws: 2025-05-25 to 2025-06-107 draws: 2025-06-10 to 2025-06-1713 draws: 2025-06-17 to 2025-06-3014 draws: 2025-06-30 to 2025-07-142 draws: 2025-07-14 to 2025-07-1613 draws: 2025-07-16 to 2025-07-292 draws: 2025-07-29 to 2025-07-313 draws: 2025-07-31 to 2025-08-0316 draws: 2025-08-03 to 2025-08-191 draws: 2025-08-19 to 2025-08-206 draws: 2025-08-20 to 2025-08-265 draws: 2025-08-26 to 2025-08-317 draws: 2025-08-31 to 2025-09-073 draws: 2025-09-07 to 2025-09-101 draws: 2025-09-10 to 2025-09-116 draws: 2025-09-11 to 2025-09-1710 draws: 2025-09-17 to 2025-09-271 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-09-281 draws: 2025-09-28 to 2025-09-291 draws: 2025-09-29 to 2025-09-308 draws: 2025-09-30 to 2025-10-081 draws: 2025-10-08 to 2025-10-095 draws: 2025-10-09 to 2025-10-151 draws: 2025-10-15 to 2025-10-167 draws: 2025-10-16 to 2025-10-2410 draws: 2025-10-24 to 2025-11-032 draws: 2025-11-03 to 2025-11-057 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-218 draws: 2025-11-21 to 2025-11-291 draws: 2025-11-29 to 2025-11-3011 draws: 2025-11-30 to 2025-12-115 draws: 2025-12-11 to 2025-12-1625 draws: 2025-12-16 to 2026-01-1114 draws: 2026-01-11 to 2026-01-251 draws: 2026-01-25 to 2026-01-265 draws: 2026-01-26 to 2026-01-3114 draws: 2026-01-31 to 2026-02-146 draws: 2026-02-14 to 2026-02-206 draws: 2026-02-20 to 2026-02-2613 draws: 2026-02-26 to 2026-03-113 draws: 2026-03-11 to 2026-03-1424 draws: 2026-03-14 to 2026-04-075 draws: 2026-04-07 to 2026-04-1220 draws: 2026-04-12 to 2026-05-023 draws: 2026-05-02 to 2026-05-0530 draws: 2026-05-05 to 2026-06-0415 draws: 2026-06-04 to 2026-06-1917 draws: 2026-06-19 to 2026-07-061 draws: 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-0719 draws: 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-274 draws: 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-3113 draws: 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-133 draws: 2026-08-13 to 2026-08-1617 draws: 2026-08-16 to 2026-09-029 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-116 draws: 2026-09-11 to 2026-09-176 draws: 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-2313 draws: 2026-09-23 to 2026-10-062 draws: 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2026-10-082024-09-272024-10-022024-10-282024-11-062024-11-072024-11-132024-11-142024-11-192024-11-202024-12-062024-12-272024-12-292025-01-012025-01-152025-01-172025-01-252025-02-102025-02-132025-02-142025-02-202025-02-212025-02-222025-03-192025-03-212025-03-252025-03-292025-04-012025-04-022025-04-052025-04-152025-04-162025-04-202025-04-262025-05-082025-05-132025-05-252025-06-102025-06-172025-06-302025-07-142025-07-162025-07-292025-07-312025-08-032025-08-192025-08-202025-08-262025-08-312025-09-072025-09-102025-09-112025-09-172025-09-272025-09-282025-09-292025-09-302025-10-082025-10-092025-10-152025-10-162025-10-242025-11-032025-11-052025-11-212025-11-292025-11-302025-12-112025-12-162026-01-112026-01-252026-01-262026-01-312026-02-142026-02-202026-02-262026-03-112026-03-142026-04-072026-04-122026-05-022026-05-052026-06-042026-06-192026-07-062026-07-072026-07-272026-07-312026-08-132026-08-162026-09-022026-09-112026-09-172026-09-232026-10-062026-10-082024-09-252026-10-12

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 18 times2 draws: 7 times3 draws: 9 times4 draws: 4 times5 draws: 8 times6 draws: 9 times7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 3 times9 draws: 2 times10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 5 times14 draws: 4 times15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 4 times17 draws: 2 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 2 times26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 1 time31 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest27 · chance 36.3
  • 2nd smallest48 · chance 41.5
  • 3rd smallest17 · chance 15.0
  • 4th smallest3 · chance 2.0
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

181623224

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-10-0821st920223235
2026-10-06132nd19141629
2026-09-2363rd1591824
2026-09-1762nd491721
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

29
2026-09-1192nd89233133
2026-09-02172nd89151924
2026-08-1633rd4591531
2026-08-13133rd1592731
2026-07-3142nd59222425
2026-07-27192nd69223037
2026-07-0713rd1292740
2026-07-06171st912283738
2026-06-19153rd1891235
2026-06-04302nd69162837
2026-05-0532nd29142629
2026-05-02201st916182123
2026-04-1251st920252640
2026-04-07242nd29121629
2026-03-1432nd19273539
2026-03-11131st914182228
2026-02-2661st915162428
2026-02-2063rd1791113
2026-02-14141st916182531
2026-01-3153rd5691528
The other 71 appearances
2026-01-2612nd39101621
2026-01-25142nd89202433
2026-01-11252nd69243133
2025-12-1652nd49161823
2025-12-11111st911333738
2025-11-3011st913143037
2025-11-2983rd4591732
2025-11-2172nd49132734
2025-11-0522nd39172039
2025-11-03101st930343840
2025-10-2473rd5891021
2025-10-1613rd1891823
2025-10-1552nd89283538
2025-10-0912nd89272934
2025-10-0881st912143839
2025-09-3011st916323335
2025-09-2914th158917
2025-09-2812nd19132740
2025-09-27104th147911
2025-09-1762nd29163236
2025-09-1112nd19132023
2025-09-1031st911121721
2025-09-0772nd29112429
2025-08-3153rd4691936
2025-08-2661st918303839
2025-08-2012nd19122637
2025-08-19162nd19101727
2025-08-0332nd19273039
2025-07-3121st912212540
2025-07-29132nd29233138
2025-07-1623rd5792128
2025-07-14142nd59242531
2025-06-30132nd79171934
2025-06-1772nd59132039
2025-06-10161st922253340
2025-05-25122nd79101922
2025-05-1353rd6792628
2025-05-08122nd79113338
2025-04-2661st922272838
2025-04-2042nd69161930
2025-04-1613rd7892236
2025-04-15101st912192130
2025-04-0532nd49223437
2025-04-0212nd39101531
2025-04-0132nd79132021
2025-03-2942nd59232539
2025-03-2542nd89232436
2025-03-2124th138938
2025-03-19251st913162023
2025-02-2212nd49163639
2025-02-2112nd89212324
2025-02-2062nd19222631
2025-02-1411st911133340
2025-02-1333rd2792640
2025-02-10162nd69192223
2025-01-2581st910142324
2025-01-1721st910222834
2025-01-15142nd29181921
2025-01-0131st919262935
2024-12-2922nd19183039
2024-12-27212nd49283234
2024-12-06163rd4891227
2024-11-2012nd39162332
2024-11-1952nd69313238
2024-11-1412nd39232530
2024-11-1361st924262838
2024-11-0713rd2493740
2024-11-0691st915192639
2024-10-28262nd79101122
2024-10-0251st913141729
2024-09-27—1st913143436