VinciCasa · every number
9
Number 9 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
95 times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.35σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 67% for any number
7.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
30 longest completed wait · 86% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 95 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
9 Number 9, draw by draw Drawn 95 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 4 draws now
5 draws: 2024-09-27 to 2024-10-02 26 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-28 9 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-06 1 draws: 2024-11-06 to 2024-11-07 6 draws: 2024-11-07 to 2024-11-13 1 draws: 2024-11-13 to 2024-11-14 5 draws: 2024-11-14 to 2024-11-19 1 draws: 2024-11-19 to 2024-11-20 16 draws: 2024-11-20 to 2024-12-06 21 draws: 2024-12-06 to 2024-12-27 2 draws: 2024-12-27 to 2024-12-29 3 draws: 2024-12-29 to 2025-01-01 14 draws: 2025-01-01 to 2025-01-15 2 draws: 2025-01-15 to 2025-01-17 8 draws: 2025-01-17 to 2025-01-25 16 draws: 2025-01-25 to 2025-02-10 3 draws: 2025-02-10 to 2025-02-13 1 draws: 2025-02-13 to 2025-02-14 6 draws: 2025-02-14 to 2025-02-20 1 draws: 2025-02-20 to 2025-02-21 1 draws: 2025-02-21 to 2025-02-22 25 draws: 2025-02-22 to 2025-03-19 2 draws: 2025-03-19 to 2025-03-21 4 draws: 2025-03-21 to 2025-03-25 4 draws: 2025-03-25 to 2025-03-29 3 draws: 2025-03-29 to 2025-04-01 1 draws: 2025-04-01 to 2025-04-02 3 draws: 2025-04-02 to 2025-04-05 10 draws: 2025-04-05 to 2025-04-15 1 draws: 2025-04-15 to 2025-04-16 4 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-04-20 6 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-04-26 12 draws: 2025-04-26 to 2025-05-08 5 draws: 2025-05-08 to 2025-05-13 12 draws: 2025-05-13 to 2025-05-25 16 draws: 2025-05-25 to 2025-06-10 7 draws: 2025-06-10 to 2025-06-17 13 draws: 2025-06-17 to 2025-06-30 14 draws: 2025-06-30 to 2025-07-14 2 draws: 2025-07-14 to 2025-07-16 13 draws: 2025-07-16 to 2025-07-29 2 draws: 2025-07-29 to 2025-07-31 3 draws: 2025-07-31 to 2025-08-03 16 draws: 2025-08-03 to 2025-08-19 1 draws: 2025-08-19 to 2025-08-20 6 draws: 2025-08-20 to 2025-08-26 5 draws: 2025-08-26 to 2025-08-31 7 draws: 2025-08-31 to 2025-09-07 3 draws: 2025-09-07 to 2025-09-10 1 draws: 2025-09-10 to 2025-09-11 6 draws: 2025-09-11 to 2025-09-17 10 draws: 2025-09-17 to 2025-09-27 1 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-09-28 1 draws: 2025-09-28 to 2025-09-29 1 draws: 2025-09-29 to 2025-09-30 8 draws: 2025-09-30 to 2025-10-08 1 draws: 2025-10-08 to 2025-10-09 5 draws: 2025-10-09 to 2025-10-15 1 draws: 2025-10-15 to 2025-10-16 7 draws: 2025-10-16 to 2025-10-24 10 draws: 2025-10-24 to 2025-11-03 2 draws: 2025-11-03 to 2025-11-05 7 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-21 8 draws: 2025-11-21 to 2025-11-29 1 draws: 2025-11-29 to 2025-11-30 11 draws: 2025-11-30 to 2025-12-11 5 draws: 2025-12-11 to 2025-12-16 25 draws: 2025-12-16 to 2026-01-11 14 draws: 2026-01-11 to 2026-01-25 1 draws: 2026-01-25 to 2026-01-26 5 draws: 2026-01-26 to 2026-01-31 14 draws: 2026-01-31 to 2026-02-14 6 draws: 2026-02-14 to 2026-02-20 6 draws: 2026-02-20 to 2026-02-26 13 draws: 2026-02-26 to 2026-03-11 3 draws: 2026-03-11 to 2026-03-14 24 draws: 2026-03-14 to 2026-04-07 5 draws: 2026-04-07 to 2026-04-12 20 draws: 2026-04-12 to 2026-05-02 3 draws: 2026-05-02 to 2026-05-05 30 draws: 2026-05-05 to 2026-06-04 15 draws: 2026-06-04 to 2026-06-19 17 draws: 2026-06-19 to 2026-07-06 1 draws: 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-07 19 draws: 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-27 4 draws: 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-31 13 draws: 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-13 3 draws: 2026-08-13 to 2026-08-16 17 draws: 2026-08-16 to 2026-09-02 9 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-11 6 draws: 2026-09-11 to 2026-09-17 6 draws: 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-23 13 draws: 2026-09-23 to 2026-10-06 2 draws: 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2026-10-08 2024-09-27 2024-10-02 2024-10-28 2024-11-06 2024-11-07 2024-11-13 2024-11-14 2024-11-19 2024-11-20 2024-12-06 2024-12-27 2024-12-29 2025-01-01 2025-01-15 2025-01-17 2025-01-25 2025-02-10 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 2025-03-19 2025-03-21 2025-03-25 2025-03-29 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 2025-04-05 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 2025-04-20 2025-04-26 2025-05-08 2025-05-13 2025-05-25 2025-06-10 2025-06-17 2025-06-30 2025-07-14 2025-07-16 2025-07-29 2025-07-31 2025-08-03 2025-08-19 2025-08-20 2025-08-26 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 2025-09-10 2025-09-11 2025-09-17 2025-09-27 2025-09-28 2025-09-29 2025-09-30 2025-10-08 2025-10-09 2025-10-15 2025-10-16 2025-10-24 2025-11-03 2025-11-05 2025-11-21 2025-11-29 2025-11-30 2025-12-11 2025-12-16 2026-01-11 2026-01-25 2026-01-26 2026-01-31 2026-02-14 2026-02-20 2026-02-26 2026-03-11 2026-03-14 2026-04-07 2026-04-12 2026-05-02 2026-05-05 2026-06-04 2026-06-19 2026-07-06 2026-07-07 2026-07-27 2026-07-31 2026-08-13 2026-08-16 2026-09-02 2026-09-11 2026-09-17 2026-09-23 2026-10-06 2026-10-08 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 18 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 9 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 8 times 6 draws: 9 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 5 times 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 4 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 27 · chance 36.3 2nd smallest 48 · chance 41.5 3rd smallest 17 · chance 15.0 4th smallest 3 · chance 2.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 8 Every number number 10 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.