VinciCasa · every number
6
Number 6 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
83 times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.99σ
15 draws waiting · a wait this long: 15% for any number
8.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
35 longest completed wait · 59% chance of one at least that long
6 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 83 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
6 Number 6, draw by draw Drawn 83 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 15 draws now
33 draws: 2024-10-17 to 2024-11-19 5 draws: 2024-11-19 to 2024-11-24 1 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-11-25 5 draws: 2024-11-25 to 2024-11-30 7 draws: 2024-11-30 to 2024-12-07 9 draws: 2024-12-07 to 2024-12-16 7 draws: 2024-12-16 to 2024-12-23 11 draws: 2024-12-23 to 2025-01-03 3 draws: 2025-01-03 to 2025-01-06 16 draws: 2025-01-06 to 2025-01-22 1 draws: 2025-01-22 to 2025-01-23 12 draws: 2025-01-23 to 2025-02-04 4 draws: 2025-02-04 to 2025-02-08 2 draws: 2025-02-08 to 2025-02-10 1 draws: 2025-02-10 to 2025-02-11 1 draws: 2025-02-11 to 2025-02-12 4 draws: 2025-02-12 to 2025-02-16 1 draws: 2025-02-16 to 2025-02-17 2 draws: 2025-02-17 to 2025-02-19 5 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-02-24 1 draws: 2025-02-24 to 2025-02-25 4 draws: 2025-02-25 to 2025-03-01 3 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-04 3 draws: 2025-03-04 to 2025-03-07 8 draws: 2025-03-07 to 2025-03-15 22 draws: 2025-03-15 to 2025-04-06 14 draws: 2025-04-06 to 2025-04-20 15 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-05-05 8 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-13 15 draws: 2025-05-13 to 2025-05-28 15 draws: 2025-05-28 to 2025-06-12 23 draws: 2025-06-12 to 2025-07-05 2 draws: 2025-07-05 to 2025-07-07 2 draws: 2025-07-07 to 2025-07-09 3 draws: 2025-07-09 to 2025-07-12 10 draws: 2025-07-12 to 2025-07-22 23 draws: 2025-07-22 to 2025-08-14 13 draws: 2025-08-14 to 2025-08-27 4 draws: 2025-08-27 to 2025-08-31 33 draws: 2025-08-31 to 2025-10-03 1 draws: 2025-10-03 to 2025-10-04 1 draws: 2025-10-04 to 2025-10-05 26 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2025-11-02 2 draws: 2025-11-02 to 2025-11-04 2 draws: 2025-11-04 to 2025-11-06 1 draws: 2025-11-06 to 2025-11-10 11 draws: 2025-11-10 to 2025-11-27 6 draws: 2025-11-27 to 2025-12-03 5 draws: 2025-12-03 to 2025-12-08 15 draws: 2025-12-08 to 2025-12-24 11 draws: 2025-12-24 to 2026-01-04 5 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-01-09 2 draws: 2026-01-09 to 2026-01-11 2 draws: 2026-01-11 to 2026-01-13 7 draws: 2026-01-13 to 2026-01-20 1 draws: 2026-01-20 to 2026-01-21 10 draws: 2026-01-21 to 2026-01-31 12 draws: 2026-01-31 to 2026-02-12 1 draws: 2026-02-12 to 2026-02-13 18 draws: 2026-02-13 to 2026-03-03 1 draws: 2026-03-03 to 2026-03-04 13 draws: 2026-03-04 to 2026-03-17 15 draws: 2026-03-17 to 2026-04-01 12 draws: 2026-04-01 to 2026-04-13 10 draws: 2026-04-13 to 2026-04-23 5 draws: 2026-04-23 to 2026-04-28 5 draws: 2026-04-28 to 2026-05-03 5 draws: 2026-05-03 to 2026-05-08 13 draws: 2026-05-08 to 2026-05-21 8 draws: 2026-05-21 to 2026-05-29 5 draws: 2026-05-29 to 2026-06-03 1 draws: 2026-06-03 to 2026-06-04 35 draws: 2026-06-04 to 2026-07-09 12 draws: 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-22 4 draws: 2026-07-22 to 2026-07-26 1 draws: 2026-07-26 to 2026-07-27 7 draws: 2026-07-27 to 2026-08-03 19 draws: 2026-08-03 to 2026-08-22 13 draws: 2026-08-22 to 2026-09-04 20 draws: 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-24 2 draws: 2026-09-24 to 2026-09-26 1 draws: 2026-09-26 to 2026-09-27 Still waiting — at least 15 draws since 2026-09-27 2024-10-17 2024-11-19 2024-11-24 2024-11-25 2024-11-30 2024-12-07 2024-12-16 2024-12-23 2025-01-03 2025-01-06 2025-01-22 2025-01-23 2025-02-04 2025-02-08 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 2025-02-19 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 2025-03-01 2025-03-04 2025-03-07 2025-03-15 2025-04-06 2025-04-20 2025-05-05 2025-05-13 2025-05-28 2025-06-12 2025-07-05 2025-07-07 2025-07-09 2025-07-12 2025-07-22 2025-08-14 2025-08-27 2025-08-31 2025-10-03 2025-10-04 2025-10-05 2025-11-02 2025-11-04 2025-11-06 2025-11-10 2025-11-27 2025-12-03 2025-12-08 2025-12-24 2026-01-04 2026-01-09 2026-01-11 2026-01-13 2026-01-20 2026-01-21 2026-01-31 2026-02-12 2026-02-13 2026-03-03 2026-03-04 2026-03-17 2026-04-01 2026-04-13 2026-04-23 2026-04-28 2026-05-03 2026-05-08 2026-05-21 2026-05-29 2026-06-03 2026-06-04 2026-07-09 2026-07-22 2026-07-26 2026-07-27 2026-08-03 2026-08-22 2026-09-04 2026-09-24 2026-09-26 2026-09-27 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 15 times 2 draws: 9 times 3 draws: 4 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 1 time 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 1 time 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 4 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 5 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 2 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 2 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 45 · chance 46.8 2nd smallest 32 · chance 30.2 3rd smallest 6 · chance 5.7 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.3 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 6 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 5 Every number number 7 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.