Number 2

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

96times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.46σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

43longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 96 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 96 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest89 · chance 86.2
2nd smallest7 · chance 9.8
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 28 37 16 31 6

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	5	1st	2 12 26 38 39
2026-10-02	11	1st	2 14 19 34 38
2026-09-21	1	1st	2 7 31 32 34
2026-09-20	6	1st	2 18 25 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-01	5	1st	2 6 23 34 36
2026-03-27	43	1st	2 11 14 15 16
2026-02-12	3	1st	2 6 30 31 37
2026-02-09	1	1st	2 16 21 25 34
2026-02-08	19	1st	2 12 16 33 38
2026-01-20	10	1st	2 6 17 23 27
2026-01-10	1	1st	2 19 20 37 39
2026-01-09	1	1st	2 6 8 12 37
2026-01-08	10	1st	2 11 12 25 30
2025-12-29	8	1st	2 18 32 36 40
2025-12-21	7	1st	2 16 35 36 40
2025-12-13	4	1st	2 7 11 14 28
2025-12-09	8	2nd	1 2 5 18 30
2025-12-01	30	1st	2 17 24 30 40
2025-10-23	10	1st	2 5 14 20 23
2025-10-11	7	1st	2 5 19 20 25
2025-10-04	10	1st	2 6 7 12 28
2025-09-24	6	1st	2 24 25 34 38
2025-09-18	1	1st	2 3 8 18 27
2025-09-17	5	1st	2 9 16 32 36
2025-09-12	3	1st	2 4 17 28 35
2025-09-09	2	1st	2 8 22 31 32
2025-09-07	1	1st	2 9 11 24 29
2025-09-06	1	1st	2 3 7 10 40
2025-09-05	2	1st	2 10 24 25 39
2025-09-03	12	1st	2 5 11 23 25
2025-08-22	4	2nd	1 2 18 24 29
2025-08-18	3	1st	2 10 16 31 37
2025-08-15	17	1st	2 8 22 23 38
2025-07-29	11	1st	2 9 23 31 38
2025-07-18	9	1st	2 27 32 35 38
2025-07-09	2	1st	2 5 6 17 27
2025-07-07	8	1st	2 6 38 39 40
2025-06-29	4	2nd	1 2 10 19 37
2025-06-25	3	1st	2 16 18 30 32
2025-06-22	2	1st	2 20 28 38 39
2025-06-20	2	1st	2 12 21 27 32
2025-06-18	3	1st	2 8 19 35 40
2025-06-15	12	1st	2 24 26 34 38
2025-06-03	4	1st	2 13 18 28 38
2025-05-30	4	1st	2 10 22 26 37
2025-05-26	2	1st	2 22 26 36 38
2025-05-24	4	1st	2 3 13 14 32
2025-05-20	13	1st	2 8 17 34 37
2025-05-07	12	1st	2 8 11 15 19
2025-04-25	38	1st	2 13 17 28 30
2025-03-18	16	1st	2 4 11 18 27
2025-03-02	3	1st	2 5 7 8 10
2025-02-27	1	1st	2 19 27 31 32
2025-02-26	7	1st	2 11 18 22 28
2025-02-19	6	1st	2 6 16 24 33
2025-02-13	1	1st	2 7 9 26 40
2025-02-12	3	1st	2 6 20 23 34
2025-02-09	25	2nd	1 2 10 12 15
2025-01-15	2	1st	2 9 18 19 21
2025-01-13	1	1st	2 12 23 24 37
2025-01-12	4	2nd	1 2 17 19 21
2025-01-08	8	1st	2 24 28 33 35
2024-12-31	9	1st	2 7 21 23 26
2024-12-22	3	1st	2 4 17 36 40
2024-12-19	3	1st	2 3 5 17 28
2024-12-16	16	1st	2 5 6 11 13
2024-11-30	21	1st	2 6 15 19 23
2024-11-09	1	1st	2 11 16 28 34
2024-11-08	1	1st	2 28 35 36 39
2024-11-07	3	1st	2 4 9 37 40
2024-11-04	17	1st	2 20 25 27 40
2024-10-18	7	1st	2 3 14 24 31
2024-10-11	2	2nd	1 2 23 34 36
2024-10-09	6	1st	2 16 27 33 39
2024-10-03	5	1st	2 25 30 32 37
2024-09-28	—	1st	2 7 19 25 31