VinciCasa · every number
20
Number 20 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
88 times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.43σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 67% for any number
8.3 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
34 longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long
20 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 88 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
20 Number 20, draw by draw Drawn 88 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 4 draws now
34 draws: 2024-10-01 to 2024-11-04 7 draws: 2024-11-04 to 2024-11-11 4 draws: 2024-11-11 to 2024-11-15 25 draws: 2024-11-15 to 2024-12-10 7 draws: 2024-12-10 to 2024-12-17 9 draws: 2024-12-17 to 2024-12-26 32 draws: 2024-12-26 to 2025-01-27 2 draws: 2025-01-27 to 2025-01-29 9 draws: 2025-01-29 to 2025-02-07 5 draws: 2025-02-07 to 2025-02-12 5 draws: 2025-02-12 to 2025-02-17 6 draws: 2025-02-17 to 2025-02-23 1 draws: 2025-02-23 to 2025-02-24 5 draws: 2025-02-24 to 2025-03-01 7 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-08 8 draws: 2025-03-08 to 2025-03-16 3 draws: 2025-03-16 to 2025-03-19 13 draws: 2025-03-19 to 2025-04-01 8 draws: 2025-04-01 to 2025-04-09 26 draws: 2025-04-09 to 2025-05-05 9 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-14 17 draws: 2025-05-14 to 2025-05-31 1 draws: 2025-05-31 to 2025-06-01 3 draws: 2025-06-01 to 2025-06-04 13 draws: 2025-06-04 to 2025-06-17 5 draws: 2025-06-17 to 2025-06-22 4 draws: 2025-06-22 to 2025-06-26 17 draws: 2025-06-26 to 2025-07-13 17 draws: 2025-07-13 to 2025-07-30 5 draws: 2025-07-30 to 2025-08-04 4 draws: 2025-08-04 to 2025-08-08 2 draws: 2025-08-08 to 2025-08-10 4 draws: 2025-08-10 to 2025-08-14 3 draws: 2025-08-14 to 2025-08-17 10 draws: 2025-08-17 to 2025-08-27 12 draws: 2025-08-27 to 2025-09-08 3 draws: 2025-09-08 to 2025-09-11 5 draws: 2025-09-11 to 2025-09-16 7 draws: 2025-09-16 to 2025-09-23 18 draws: 2025-09-23 to 2025-10-11 6 draws: 2025-10-11 to 2025-10-18 4 draws: 2025-10-18 to 2025-10-23 9 draws: 2025-10-23 to 2025-11-01 4 draws: 2025-11-01 to 2025-11-05 4 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-18 10 draws: 2025-11-18 to 2025-11-28 7 draws: 2025-11-28 to 2025-12-05 7 draws: 2025-12-05 to 2025-12-12 2 draws: 2025-12-12 to 2025-12-14 11 draws: 2025-12-14 to 2025-12-26 2 draws: 2025-12-26 to 2025-12-28 13 draws: 2025-12-28 to 2026-01-10 6 draws: 2026-01-10 to 2026-01-16 3 draws: 2026-01-16 to 2026-01-19 6 draws: 2026-01-19 to 2026-01-25 5 draws: 2026-01-25 to 2026-01-30 14 draws: 2026-01-30 to 2026-02-13 11 draws: 2026-02-13 to 2026-02-24 5 draws: 2026-02-24 to 2026-03-01 7 draws: 2026-03-01 to 2026-03-08 1 draws: 2026-03-08 to 2026-03-09 3 draws: 2026-03-09 to 2026-03-12 4 draws: 2026-03-12 to 2026-03-16 2 draws: 2026-03-16 to 2026-03-18 16 draws: 2026-03-18 to 2026-04-03 3 draws: 2026-04-03 to 2026-04-06 5 draws: 2026-04-06 to 2026-04-11 1 draws: 2026-04-11 to 2026-04-12 5 draws: 2026-04-12 to 2026-04-17 11 draws: 2026-04-17 to 2026-04-28 3 draws: 2026-04-28 to 2026-05-01 2 draws: 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-03 7 draws: 2026-05-03 to 2026-05-10 2 draws: 2026-05-10 to 2026-05-12 29 draws: 2026-05-12 to 2026-06-10 15 draws: 2026-06-10 to 2026-06-25 8 draws: 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-03 1 draws: 2026-07-03 to 2026-07-04 16 draws: 2026-07-04 to 2026-07-21 2 draws: 2026-07-21 to 2026-07-23 12 draws: 2026-07-23 to 2026-08-04 6 draws: 2026-08-04 to 2026-08-10 18 draws: 2026-08-10 to 2026-08-28 3 draws: 2026-08-28 to 2026-08-31 5 draws: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-05 3 draws: 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-08 30 draws: 2026-09-08 to 2026-10-08 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2026-10-08 2024-10-01 2024-11-04 2024-11-11 2024-11-15 2024-12-10 2024-12-17 2024-12-26 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 2025-02-07 2025-02-12 2025-02-17 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 2025-03-01 2025-03-08 2025-03-16 2025-03-19 2025-04-01 2025-04-09 2025-05-05 2025-05-14 2025-05-31 2025-06-01 2025-06-04 2025-06-17 2025-06-22 2025-06-26 2025-07-13 2025-07-30 2025-08-04 2025-08-08 2025-08-10 2025-08-14 2025-08-17 2025-08-27 2025-09-08 2025-09-11 2025-09-16 2025-09-23 2025-10-11 2025-10-18 2025-10-23 2025-11-01 2025-11-05 2025-11-18 2025-11-28 2025-12-05 2025-12-12 2025-12-14 2025-12-26 2025-12-28 2026-01-10 2026-01-16 2026-01-19 2026-01-25 2026-01-30 2026-02-13 2026-02-24 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 2026-03-09 2026-03-12 2026-03-16 2026-03-18 2026-04-03 2026-04-06 2026-04-11 2026-04-12 2026-04-17 2026-04-28 2026-05-01 2026-05-03 2026-05-10 2026-05-12 2026-06-10 2026-06-25 2026-07-03 2026-07-04 2026-07-21 2026-07-23 2026-08-04 2026-08-10 2026-08-28 2026-08-31 2026-09-05 2026-09-08 2026-10-08 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 5 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 10 times 4 draws: 8 times 5 draws: 11 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 8 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 4 · chance 5.2 2nd smallest 22 · chance 23.2 3rd smallest 30 · chance 34.8 4th smallest 29 · chance 20.7 5th smallest 3 · chance 4.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 19 Every number number 21 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.