VinciCasa · every number
29
Number 29 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
86 times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.66σ
6 draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number
8.6 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
54 longest completed wait · 7% chance of one at least that long
29 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 86 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
29 Number 29, draw by draw Drawn 86 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 54 · waiting 6 draws now
7 draws: 2024-09-25 to 2024-10-02 6 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-08 35 draws: 2024-10-08 to 2024-11-12 12 draws: 2024-11-12 to 2024-11-24 1 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-11-25 1 draws: 2024-11-25 to 2024-11-26 11 draws: 2024-11-26 to 2024-12-07 1 draws: 2024-12-07 to 2024-12-08 1 draws: 2024-12-08 to 2024-12-09 1 draws: 2024-12-09 to 2024-12-10 1 draws: 2024-12-10 to 2024-12-11 9 draws: 2024-12-11 to 2024-12-20 12 draws: 2024-12-20 to 2025-01-01 5 draws: 2025-01-01 to 2025-01-06 14 draws: 2025-01-06 to 2025-01-20 2 draws: 2025-01-20 to 2025-01-22 2 draws: 2025-01-22 to 2025-01-24 5 draws: 2025-01-24 to 2025-01-29 4 draws: 2025-01-29 to 2025-02-02 4 draws: 2025-02-02 to 2025-02-06 19 draws: 2025-02-06 to 2025-02-25 12 draws: 2025-02-25 to 2025-03-09 1 draws: 2025-03-09 to 2025-03-10 2 draws: 2025-03-10 to 2025-03-12 3 draws: 2025-03-12 to 2025-03-15 35 draws: 2025-03-15 to 2025-04-19 4 draws: 2025-04-19 to 2025-04-23 11 draws: 2025-04-23 to 2025-05-04 1 draws: 2025-05-04 to 2025-05-05 6 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-11 1 draws: 2025-05-11 to 2025-05-12 17 draws: 2025-05-12 to 2025-05-29 54 draws: 2025-05-29 to 2025-07-22 4 draws: 2025-07-22 to 2025-07-26 6 draws: 2025-07-26 to 2025-08-01 5 draws: 2025-08-01 to 2025-08-06 16 draws: 2025-08-06 to 2025-08-22 1 draws: 2025-08-22 to 2025-08-23 10 draws: 2025-08-23 to 2025-09-02 5 draws: 2025-09-02 to 2025-09-07 12 draws: 2025-09-07 to 2025-09-19 20 draws: 2025-09-19 to 2025-10-09 19 draws: 2025-10-09 to 2025-10-30 2 draws: 2025-10-30 to 2025-11-01 17 draws: 2025-11-01 to 2025-11-27 1 draws: 2025-11-27 to 2025-11-28 8 draws: 2025-11-28 to 2025-12-06 2 draws: 2025-12-06 to 2025-12-08 9 draws: 2025-12-08 to 2025-12-17 9 draws: 2025-12-17 to 2025-12-27 8 draws: 2025-12-27 to 2026-01-04 9 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-01-13 5 draws: 2026-01-13 to 2026-01-18 16 draws: 2026-01-18 to 2026-02-03 22 draws: 2026-02-03 to 2026-02-25 4 draws: 2026-02-25 to 2026-03-01 5 draws: 2026-03-01 to 2026-03-06 1 draws: 2026-03-06 to 2026-03-07 15 draws: 2026-03-07 to 2026-03-22 16 draws: 2026-03-22 to 2026-04-07 7 draws: 2026-04-07 to 2026-04-14 8 draws: 2026-04-14 to 2026-04-22 13 draws: 2026-04-22 to 2026-05-05 1 draws: 2026-05-05 to 2026-05-06 7 draws: 2026-05-06 to 2026-05-13 25 draws: 2026-05-13 to 2026-06-07 9 draws: 2026-06-07 to 2026-06-16 5 draws: 2026-06-16 to 2026-06-21 2 draws: 2026-06-21 to 2026-06-23 3 draws: 2026-06-23 to 2026-06-26 1 draws: 2026-06-26 to 2026-06-27 4 draws: 2026-06-27 to 2026-07-01 17 draws: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-19 5 draws: 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-24 13 draws: 2026-07-24 to 2026-08-06 16 draws: 2026-08-06 to 2026-08-22 3 draws: 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-25 1 draws: 2026-08-25 to 2026-08-26 19 draws: 2026-08-26 to 2026-09-14 3 draws: 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-17 2 draws: 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-19 3 draws: 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-22 2 draws: 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-24 5 draws: 2026-09-24 to 2026-09-29 7 draws: 2026-09-29 to 2026-10-06 Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2026-10-06 2024-09-25 2024-10-02 2024-10-08 2024-11-12 2024-11-24 2024-11-25 2024-11-26 2024-12-07 2024-12-08 2024-12-09 2024-12-10 2024-12-11 2024-12-20 2025-01-01 2025-01-06 2025-01-20 2025-01-22 2025-01-24 2025-01-29 2025-02-02 2025-02-06 2025-02-25 2025-03-09 2025-03-10 2025-03-12 2025-03-15 2025-04-19 2025-04-23 2025-05-04 2025-05-05 2025-05-11 2025-05-12 2025-05-29 2025-07-22 2025-07-26 2025-08-01 2025-08-06 2025-08-22 2025-08-23 2025-09-02 2025-09-07 2025-09-19 2025-10-09 2025-10-30 2025-11-01 2025-11-27 2025-11-28 2025-12-06 2025-12-08 2025-12-17 2025-12-27 2026-01-04 2026-01-13 2026-01-18 2026-02-03 2026-02-25 2026-03-01 2026-03-06 2026-03-07 2026-03-22 2026-04-07 2026-04-14 2026-04-22 2026-05-05 2026-05-06 2026-05-13 2026-06-07 2026-06-16 2026-06-21 2026-06-23 2026-06-26 2026-06-27 2026-07-01 2026-07-19 2026-07-24 2026-08-06 2026-08-22 2026-08-25 2026-08-26 2026-09-14 2026-09-17 2026-09-19 2026-09-22 2026-09-24 2026-09-29 2026-10-06 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 15 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 5 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 5 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 2 times 12 draws: 4 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 4 times 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 3 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 2 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 1 time 55 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 1 · chance 0.3 2nd smallest 3 · chance 4.8 3rd smallest 24 · chance 21.7 4th smallest 37 · chance 37.7 5th smallest 21 · chance 21.4 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 28 Every number number 30 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.