Number 11

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

86times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.66σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

51longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 86 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 86 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest25 · chance 24.8
2nd smallest40 · chance 38.2
3rd smallest15 · chance 19.1
4th smallest5 · chance 3.6
5th smallest1 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 14 2 4 26 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	2nd	4 11 12 25 34
2026-10-09	51	2nd	5 11 22 26 35
2026-08-19	9	2nd	1 11 23 31 38
2026-08-10	17	2nd	10 11 20 24

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-01-15	1	1st	11 14 16 27 39
2026-01-14	6	1st	11 21 25 27 37
2026-01-08	5	2nd	2 11 12 25 30
2026-01-03	4	2nd	10 11 18 23 30
2025-12-30	2	1st	11 22 23 25 39
2025-12-28	3	2nd	7 11 18 20 23
2025-12-25	5	3rd	1 7 11 24 33
2025-12-19	6	3rd	5 8 11 27 40
2025-12-13	2	3rd	2 7 11 14 28
2025-12-11	15	2nd	9 11 33 37 38
2025-11-26	1	1st	11 22 36 38 40
2025-11-25	18	2nd	1 11 13 28 34
2025-10-29	4	1st	11 19 22 23 26
2025-10-25	10	2nd	4 11 15 16 32
2025-10-14	8	2nd	10 11 15 16 30
2025-10-05	2	2nd	6 11 13 26 36
2025-10-03	2	3rd	6 10 11 13 24
2025-10-01	4	2nd	5 11 16 30 31
2025-09-27	1	5th	1 4 7 9 11
2025-09-26	16	1st	11 18 21 27 40
2025-09-10	3	2nd	9 11 12 17 21
2025-09-07	4	3rd	2 9 11 24 29
2025-09-03	4	3rd	2 5 11 23 25
2025-08-30	16	2nd	5 11 17 18 37
2025-08-14	7	4th	1 6 7 11 20
2025-08-07	12	1st	11 23 24 28 33
2025-07-26	4	1st	11 13 26 27 29
2025-07-22	18	3rd	6 8 11 29 30
2025-07-04	6	2nd	4 11 13 30 37
2025-06-28	9	3rd	3 7 11 13 17
2025-06-19	12	3rd	4 10 11 19 37
2025-06-07	2	2nd	4 11 17 28 35
2025-06-05	9	1st	11 13 21 31 35
2025-05-27	4	2nd	5 11 14 16 17
2025-05-23	15	1st	11 14 26 32 40
2025-05-08	1	3rd	7 9 11 33 38
2025-05-07	5	3rd	2 8 11 15 19
2025-05-02	15	1st	11 13 32 34 38
2025-04-17	4	2nd	3 11 14 18 35
2025-04-13	13	2nd	10 11 17 34 36
2025-03-31	8	1st	11 15 27 35 36
2025-03-23	5	2nd	3 11 28 32 36
2025-03-18	12	3rd	2 4 11 18 27
2025-03-06	8	2nd	10 11 27 32 38
2025-02-26	12	2nd	2 11 18 22 28
2025-02-14	18	2nd	9 11 13 33 40
2025-01-27	7	1st	11 20 23 26 39
2025-01-20	27	1st	11 13 29 31 32
2024-12-24	8	1st	11 17 18 26 35
2024-12-16	3	4th	2 5 6 11 13
2024-12-13	1	2nd	3 11 21 27 34
2024-12-12	1	2nd	4 11 16 19 27
2024-12-11	3	1st	11 12 24 29 32
2024-12-08	9	1st	11 14 29 33 38
2024-11-29	19	4th	4 8 10 11 33
2024-11-10	1	2nd	4 11 13 15 37
2024-11-09	12	2nd	2 11 16 28 34
2024-10-28	5	4th	7 9 10 11 22
2024-10-23	2	1st	11 22 25 26 37
2024-10-21	2	1st	11 13 23 24 38
2024-10-19	2	2nd	7 11 13 30 31
2024-10-17	—	2nd	6 11 12 14 17