VinciCasa · every number
3
Number 3 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
85 times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.77σ
11 draws waiting · a wait this long: 26% for any number
8.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
33 longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 85 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
3 Number 3, draw by draw Drawn 85 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 11 draws now
1 draws: 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-08 10 draws: 2024-10-08 to 2024-10-18 27 draws: 2024-10-18 to 2024-11-14 6 draws: 2024-11-14 to 2024-11-20 4 draws: 2024-11-20 to 2024-11-24 4 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-11-28 15 draws: 2024-11-28 to 2024-12-13 6 draws: 2024-12-13 to 2024-12-19 7 draws: 2024-12-19 to 2024-12-26 4 draws: 2024-12-26 to 2024-12-30 22 draws: 2024-12-30 to 2025-01-21 2 draws: 2025-01-21 to 2025-01-23 1 draws: 2025-01-23 to 2025-01-24 14 draws: 2025-01-24 to 2025-02-07 16 draws: 2025-02-07 to 2025-02-23 6 draws: 2025-02-23 to 2025-03-01 20 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-21 2 draws: 2025-03-21 to 2025-03-23 5 draws: 2025-03-23 to 2025-03-28 5 draws: 2025-03-28 to 2025-04-02 7 draws: 2025-04-02 to 2025-04-09 8 draws: 2025-04-09 to 2025-04-17 7 draws: 2025-04-17 to 2025-04-24 5 draws: 2025-04-24 to 2025-04-29 10 draws: 2025-04-29 to 2025-05-09 15 draws: 2025-05-09 to 2025-05-24 5 draws: 2025-05-24 to 2025-05-29 6 draws: 2025-05-29 to 2025-06-04 17 draws: 2025-06-04 to 2025-06-21 3 draws: 2025-06-21 to 2025-06-24 4 draws: 2025-06-24 to 2025-06-28 7 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-07-05 5 draws: 2025-07-05 to 2025-07-10 11 draws: 2025-07-10 to 2025-07-21 2 draws: 2025-07-21 to 2025-07-23 10 draws: 2025-07-23 to 2025-08-02 8 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-08-10 1 draws: 2025-08-10 to 2025-08-11 1 draws: 2025-08-11 to 2025-08-12 25 draws: 2025-08-12 to 2025-09-06 8 draws: 2025-09-06 to 2025-09-14 1 draws: 2025-09-14 to 2025-09-15 3 draws: 2025-09-15 to 2025-09-18 7 draws: 2025-09-18 to 2025-09-25 33 draws: 2025-09-25 to 2025-10-30 6 draws: 2025-10-30 to 2025-11-05 20 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-12-04 4 draws: 2025-12-04 to 2025-12-08 10 draws: 2025-12-08 to 2025-12-18 16 draws: 2025-12-18 to 2026-01-04 22 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-01-26 3 draws: 2026-01-26 to 2026-01-29 3 draws: 2026-01-29 to 2026-02-01 18 draws: 2026-02-01 to 2026-02-19 2 draws: 2026-02-19 to 2026-02-21 17 draws: 2026-02-21 to 2026-03-10 7 draws: 2026-03-10 to 2026-03-17 4 draws: 2026-03-17 to 2026-03-21 9 draws: 2026-03-21 to 2026-03-30 3 draws: 2026-03-30 to 2026-04-02 8 draws: 2026-04-02 to 2026-04-10 14 draws: 2026-04-10 to 2026-04-24 1 draws: 2026-04-24 to 2026-04-25 2 draws: 2026-04-25 to 2026-04-27 1 draws: 2026-04-27 to 2026-04-28 1 draws: 2026-04-28 to 2026-04-29 19 draws: 2026-04-29 to 2026-05-18 6 draws: 2026-05-18 to 2026-05-24 15 draws: 2026-05-24 to 2026-06-08 18 draws: 2026-06-08 to 2026-06-26 8 draws: 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-04 12 draws: 2026-07-04 to 2026-07-17 11 draws: 2026-07-17 to 2026-07-28 2 draws: 2026-07-28 to 2026-07-30 6 draws: 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-05 23 draws: 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-28 2 draws: 2026-08-28 to 2026-08-30 2 draws: 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-01 5 draws: 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-06 1 draws: 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-07 5 draws: 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-12 3 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-15 1 draws: 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-16 15 draws: 2026-09-16 to 2026-10-01 Still waiting — at least 11 draws since 2026-10-01 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 2024-10-18 2024-11-14 2024-11-20 2024-11-24 2024-11-28 2024-12-13 2024-12-19 2024-12-26 2024-12-30 2025-01-21 2025-01-23 2025-01-24 2025-02-07 2025-02-23 2025-03-01 2025-03-21 2025-03-23 2025-03-28 2025-04-02 2025-04-09 2025-04-17 2025-04-24 2025-04-29 2025-05-09 2025-05-24 2025-05-29 2025-06-04 2025-06-21 2025-06-24 2025-06-28 2025-07-05 2025-07-10 2025-07-21 2025-07-23 2025-08-02 2025-08-10 2025-08-11 2025-08-12 2025-09-06 2025-09-14 2025-09-15 2025-09-18 2025-09-25 2025-10-30 2025-11-05 2025-12-04 2025-12-08 2025-12-18 2026-01-04 2026-01-26 2026-01-29 2026-02-01 2026-02-19 2026-02-21 2026-03-10 2026-03-17 2026-03-21 2026-03-30 2026-04-02 2026-04-10 2026-04-24 2026-04-25 2026-04-27 2026-04-28 2026-04-29 2026-05-18 2026-05-24 2026-06-08 2026-06-26 2026-07-04 2026-07-17 2026-07-28 2026-07-30 2026-08-05 2026-08-28 2026-08-30 2026-09-01 2026-09-06 2026-09-07 2026-09-12 2026-09-15 2026-09-16 2026-10-01 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 10 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 6 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 7 times 6 draws: 7 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 1 time 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 2 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 68 · chance 68.3 2nd smallest 17 · chance 16.1 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.7 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 2 Every number number 4 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.