Number 18

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

90times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.21σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 34% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

30longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 90 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 90 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 8.0
2nd smallest29 · chance 28.6
3rd smallest38 · chance 34.4
4th smallest14 · chance 16.4
5th smallest2 · chance 2.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

30 8 28 24 1 2

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	6	3rd	10 15 18 22 31
2026-09-27	4	3rd	6 16 18 25 28
2026-09-23	3	4th	1 5 9 18 24
2026-09-20	6	2nd	2 18 25 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-03-10	11	3rd	1 3 18 30 36
2026-02-27	13	2nd	7 18 24 25 35
2026-02-14	7	3rd	9 16 18 25 31
2026-02-07	1	3rd	8 15 18 26 33
2026-02-06	1	2nd	12 18 23 32 34
2026-02-05	3	3rd	5 17 18 30 34
2026-02-02	5	3rd	8 10 18 30 37
2026-01-28	12	4th	5 10 13 18 31
2026-01-16	9	3rd	15 17 18 20 31
2026-01-07	2	2nd	15 18 25 36 38
2026-01-05	1	2nd	1 18 24 25 31
2026-01-04	1	3rd	3 6 18 29 37
2026-01-03	5	3rd	10 11 18 23 30
2025-12-29	1	2nd	2 18 32 36 40
2025-12-28	2	3rd	7 11 18 20 23
2025-12-26	9	3rd	14 17 18 20 28
2025-12-16	6	4th	4 9 16 18 23
2025-12-10	1	2nd	8 18 30 34 39
2025-12-09	5	4th	1 2 5 18 30
2025-12-04	19	3rd	3 16 18 22 34
2025-11-06	20	3rd	6 8 18 35 37
2025-10-16	3	4th	1 8 9 18 23
2025-10-13	16	3rd	8 17 18 31 39
2025-09-26	8	2nd	11 18 21 27 40
2025-09-18	2	4th	2 3 8 18 27
2025-09-16	17	2nd	15 18 20 22 39
2025-08-30	4	4th	5 11 17 18 37
2025-08-26	4	2nd	9 18 30 38 39
2025-08-22	17	3rd	1 2 18 24 29
2025-08-05	25	2nd	12 18 23 26 33
2025-07-11	10	1st	18 22 26 27 38
2025-07-01	6	3rd	8 16 18 30 40
2025-06-25	22	3rd	2 16 18 30 32
2025-06-03	17	3rd	2 13 18 28 38
2025-05-17	1	2nd	12 18 24 32 40
2025-05-16	1	1st	18 26 28 30 35
2025-05-15	23	3rd	8 12 18 35 37
2025-04-22	4	3rd	1 8 18 22 28
2025-04-18	1	3rd	8 12 18 19 34
2025-04-17	8	4th	3 11 14 18 35
2025-04-09	2	3rd	3 12 18 20 26
2025-04-07	20	2nd	12 18 19 34 36
2025-03-18	6	4th	2 4 11 18 27
2025-03-12	4	2nd	8 18 28 29 36
2025-03-08	10	2nd	10 18 20 27 37
2025-02-26	2	3rd	2 11 18 22 28
2025-02-24	9	3rd	6 12 18 20 24
2025-02-15	8	5th	8 10 12 16 18
2025-02-07	2	2nd	3 18 20 21 24
2025-02-05	4	2nd	10 18 19 27 30
2025-02-01	6	2nd	1 18 19 22 25
2025-01-26	4	2nd	16 18 21 26 31
2025-01-22	4	2nd	6 18 29 34 39
2025-01-18	3	2nd	13 18 23 25 38
2025-01-15	8	3rd	2 9 18 19 21
2025-01-07	1	3rd	5 17 18 23 33
2025-01-06	1	2nd	6 18 29 34 36
2025-01-05	2	4th	1 4 5 18 24
2025-01-03	5	3rd	6 13 18 28 31
2024-12-29	5	3rd	1 9 18 30 39
2024-12-24	17	3rd	11 17 18 26 35
2024-12-07	6	2nd	6 18 26 27 29
2024-12-01	4	4th	7 14 16 18 23
2024-11-27	9	3rd	13 14 18 19 28
2024-11-18	22	1st	18 19 23 30 40
2024-10-27	—	3rd	5 10 18 30 32