VinciCasa · every number
1
Number 1 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
90 times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.21σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
8.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
35 longest completed wait · 62% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 90 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1 Number 1, draw by draw Drawn 90 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 1 draws now
20 draws: 2024-10-11 to 2024-10-31 2 draws: 2024-10-31 to 2024-11-02 1 draws: 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03 18 draws: 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-21 3 draws: 2024-11-21 to 2024-11-24 35 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2024-12-29 7 draws: 2024-12-29 to 2025-01-05 4 draws: 2025-01-05 to 2025-01-09 2 draws: 2025-01-09 to 2025-01-11 1 draws: 2025-01-11 to 2025-01-12 2 draws: 2025-01-12 to 2025-01-14 2 draws: 2025-01-14 to 2025-01-16 8 draws: 2025-01-16 to 2025-01-24 6 draws: 2025-01-24 to 2025-01-30 2 draws: 2025-01-30 to 2025-02-01 2 draws: 2025-02-01 to 2025-02-03 6 draws: 2025-02-03 to 2025-02-09 8 draws: 2025-02-09 to 2025-02-17 3 draws: 2025-02-17 to 2025-02-20 9 draws: 2025-02-20 to 2025-03-01 10 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-11 10 draws: 2025-03-11 to 2025-03-21 21 draws: 2025-03-21 to 2025-04-11 11 draws: 2025-04-11 to 2025-04-22 22 draws: 2025-04-22 to 2025-05-14 33 draws: 2025-05-14 to 2025-06-16 10 draws: 2025-06-16 to 2025-06-26 3 draws: 2025-06-26 to 2025-06-29 11 draws: 2025-06-29 to 2025-07-10 3 draws: 2025-07-10 to 2025-07-13 21 draws: 2025-07-13 to 2025-08-03 1 draws: 2025-08-03 to 2025-08-04 10 draws: 2025-08-04 to 2025-08-14 3 draws: 2025-08-14 to 2025-08-17 2 draws: 2025-08-17 to 2025-08-19 1 draws: 2025-08-19 to 2025-08-20 2 draws: 2025-08-20 to 2025-08-22 6 draws: 2025-08-22 to 2025-08-28 11 draws: 2025-08-28 to 2025-09-08 3 draws: 2025-09-08 to 2025-09-11 16 draws: 2025-09-11 to 2025-09-27 1 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-09-28 1 draws: 2025-09-28 to 2025-09-29 11 draws: 2025-09-29 to 2025-10-10 5 draws: 2025-10-10 to 2025-10-16 11 draws: 2025-10-16 to 2025-10-28 19 draws: 2025-10-28 to 2025-11-25 3 draws: 2025-11-25 to 2025-11-28 11 draws: 2025-11-28 to 2025-12-09 13 draws: 2025-12-09 to 2025-12-23 2 draws: 2025-12-23 to 2025-12-25 11 draws: 2025-12-25 to 2026-01-05 1 draws: 2026-01-05 to 2026-01-06 6 draws: 2026-01-06 to 2026-01-12 6 draws: 2026-01-12 to 2026-01-18 6 draws: 2026-01-18 to 2026-01-24 6 draws: 2026-01-24 to 2026-01-30 5 draws: 2026-01-30 to 2026-02-04 11 draws: 2026-02-04 to 2026-02-15 1 draws: 2026-02-15 to 2026-02-16 4 draws: 2026-02-16 to 2026-02-20 18 draws: 2026-02-20 to 2026-03-10 4 draws: 2026-03-10 to 2026-03-14 6 draws: 2026-03-14 to 2026-03-20 6 draws: 2026-03-20 to 2026-03-26 5 draws: 2026-03-26 to 2026-03-31 16 draws: 2026-03-31 to 2026-04-16 8 draws: 2026-04-16 to 2026-04-24 13 draws: 2026-04-24 to 2026-05-07 3 draws: 2026-05-07 to 2026-05-10 9 draws: 2026-05-10 to 2026-05-19 1 draws: 2026-05-19 to 2026-05-20 5 draws: 2026-05-20 to 2026-05-25 15 draws: 2026-05-25 to 2026-06-09 1 draws: 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-10 9 draws: 2026-06-10 to 2026-06-19 6 draws: 2026-06-19 to 2026-06-25 12 draws: 2026-06-25 to 2026-07-07 1 draws: 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-08 35 draws: 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-13 6 draws: 2026-08-13 to 2026-08-19 6 draws: 2026-08-19 to 2026-08-25 7 draws: 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-01 2 draws: 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-03 5 draws: 2026-09-03 to 2026-09-08 4 draws: 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-12 11 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-23 13 draws: 2026-09-23 to 2026-10-06 5 draws: 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-11 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-10-11 2024-10-11 2024-10-31 2024-11-02 2024-11-03 2024-11-21 2024-11-24 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 2025-01-09 2025-01-11 2025-01-12 2025-01-14 2025-01-16 2025-01-24 2025-01-30 2025-02-01 2025-02-03 2025-02-09 2025-02-17 2025-02-20 2025-03-01 2025-03-11 2025-03-21 2025-04-11 2025-04-22 2025-05-14 2025-06-16 2025-06-26 2025-06-29 2025-07-10 2025-07-13 2025-08-03 2025-08-04 2025-08-14 2025-08-17 2025-08-19 2025-08-20 2025-08-22 2025-08-28 2025-09-08 2025-09-11 2025-09-27 2025-09-28 2025-09-29 2025-10-10 2025-10-16 2025-10-28 2025-11-25 2025-11-28 2025-12-09 2025-12-23 2025-12-25 2026-01-05 2026-01-06 2026-01-12 2026-01-18 2026-01-24 2026-01-30 2026-02-04 2026-02-15 2026-02-16 2026-02-20 2026-03-10 2026-03-14 2026-03-20 2026-03-26 2026-03-31 2026-04-16 2026-04-24 2026-05-07 2026-05-10 2026-05-19 2026-05-20 2026-05-25 2026-06-09 2026-06-10 2026-06-19 2026-06-25 2026-07-07 2026-07-08 2026-08-13 2026-08-19 2026-08-25 2026-09-01 2026-09-03 2026-09-08 2026-09-12 2026-09-23 2026-10-06 2026-10-11 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 11 times 2 draws: 10 times 3 draws: 8 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 6 times 6 draws: 12 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 9 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 2 times 36 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 90 · chance 90.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 3rd smallest 0 · chance 0.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →
Every draw it appeared in Lowest in the pool Every number number 2 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.