Number 26

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

98times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.68σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

46longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

26 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 98 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 26, draw by draw

Drawn 98 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.2
2nd smallest7 · chance 10.8
3rd smallest33 · chance 32.5
4th smallest42 · chance 38.4
5th smallest15 · chance 15.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 40 10 37 17 25

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	2	4th	5 11 22 26 35
2026-10-07	15	3rd	2 12 26 38 39
2026-09-22	4	3rd	5 25 26 29 38
2026-09-18	9	4th	5 10 25 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-24	9	3rd	1 3 26 33 40
2026-04-15	3	2nd	23 26 27 34 35
2026-04-12	25	4th	9 20 25 26 40
2026-03-18	11	3rd	12 20 26 33 39
2026-03-07	28	2nd	23 26 27 29 38
2026-02-07	14	4th	8 15 18 26 33
2026-01-24	7	4th	1 23 25 26 32
2026-01-17	11	5th	4 7 11 22 26
2026-01-06	4	3rd	1 25 26 35 39
2026-01-02	14	3rd	21 25 26 31 33
2025-12-18	3	4th	3 21 22 26 36
2025-12-15	21	4th	12 16 19 26 32
2025-11-24	5	3rd	13 21 26 37 40
2025-11-19	12	4th	16 22 23 26 40
2025-10-29	9	5th	11 19 22 23 26
2025-10-19	13	4th	15 19 24 26 32
2025-10-05	46	4th	6 11 13 26 36
2025-08-20	8	4th	1 9 12 26 37
2025-08-12	1	5th	3 16 17 19 26
2025-08-11	6	3rd	3 21 26 35 39
2025-08-05	10	4th	12 18 23 26 33
2025-07-26	2	3rd	11 13 26 27 29
2025-07-24	7	4th	10 12 14 26 40
2025-07-17	6	5th	15 17 19 21 26
2025-07-11	5	3rd	18 22 26 27 38
2025-07-06	13	2nd	16 26 28 30 33
2025-06-23	7	4th	5 16 17 26 31
2025-06-16	1	3rd	1 10 26 31 34
2025-06-15	3	3rd	2 24 26 34 38
2025-06-12	13	4th	4 6 17 26 30
2025-05-30	4	4th	2 10 22 26 37
2025-05-26	3	3rd	2 22 26 36 38
2025-05-23	2	3rd	11 14 26 32 40
2025-05-21	3	3rd	10 14 26 37 39
2025-05-18	2	3rd	5 24 26 35 37
2025-05-16	3	2nd	18 26 28 30 35
2025-05-13	7	4th	6 7 9 26 28
2025-05-06	6	1st	26 28 36 37 40
2025-04-30	3	3rd	8 19 26 31 34
2025-04-27	3	4th	10 13 19 26 33
2025-04-24	1	3rd	3 8 26 32 37
2025-04-23	4	4th	4 5 8 26 29
2025-04-19	10	2nd	4 26 29 30 35
2025-04-09	3	5th	3 12 18 20 26
2025-04-06	11	4th	6 13 14 26 40
2025-03-26	6	5th	8 12 21 25 26
2025-03-20	20	4th	13 16 17 26 34
2025-02-28	8	3rd	12 17 26 28 32
2025-02-20	7	4th	1 9 22 26 31
2025-02-13	10	4th	2 7 9 26 40
2025-02-03	1	4th	1 7 17 26 37
2025-02-02	2	4th	5 16 19 26 29
2025-01-31	4	3rd	17 25 26 32 40
2025-01-27	1	4th	11 20 23 26 39
2025-01-26	22	4th	16 18 21 26 31
2025-01-04	3	3rd	5 15 26 31 38
2025-01-01	1	3rd	9 19 26 29 35
2024-12-31	7	5th	2 7 21 23 26
2024-12-24	17	4th	11 17 18 26 35
2024-12-07	2	3rd	6 18 26 27 29
2024-12-05	2	4th	7 10 24 26 36
2024-12-03	11	3rd	17 25 26 34 40
2024-11-22	1	4th	8 10 12 26 36
2024-11-21	8	5th	1 17 19 24 26
2024-11-13	7	3rd	9 24 26 28 38
2024-11-06	5	4th	9 15 19 26 39
2024-11-01	6	2nd	10 26 32 35 36
2024-10-26	3	3rd	8 25 26 34 38
2024-10-23	9	4th	11 22 25 26 37
2024-10-14	7	3rd	10 12 26 36 37
2024-10-07	3	4th	3 14 22 26 34
2024-10-04	4	4th	7 10 23 26 33
2024-09-30	4	3rd	16 21 26 27 40
2024-09-26	—	3rd	19 22 26 35 38