VinciCasa · every number
17
Number 17 In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.
92 times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.01σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
8.0 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0
24 longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long
17 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 92 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
17 Number 17, draw by draw Drawn 92 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 1 draws now
8 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-10 2 draws: 2024-10-10 to 2024-10-12 3 draws: 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-15 2 draws: 2024-10-15 to 2024-10-17 12 draws: 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-29 7 draws: 2024-10-29 to 2024-11-05 16 draws: 2024-11-05 to 2024-11-21 12 draws: 2024-11-21 to 2024-12-03 6 draws: 2024-12-03 to 2024-12-09 10 draws: 2024-12-09 to 2024-12-19 3 draws: 2024-12-19 to 2024-12-22 2 draws: 2024-12-22 to 2024-12-24 1 draws: 2024-12-24 to 2024-12-25 13 draws: 2024-12-25 to 2025-01-07 5 draws: 2025-01-07 to 2025-01-12 4 draws: 2025-01-12 to 2025-01-16 3 draws: 2025-01-16 to 2025-01-19 12 draws: 2025-01-19 to 2025-01-31 3 draws: 2025-01-31 to 2025-02-03 8 draws: 2025-02-03 to 2025-02-11 17 draws: 2025-02-11 to 2025-02-28 1 draws: 2025-02-28 to 2025-03-01 19 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-20 15 draws: 2025-03-20 to 2025-04-04 9 draws: 2025-04-04 to 2025-04-13 12 draws: 2025-04-13 to 2025-04-25 17 draws: 2025-04-25 to 2025-05-12 7 draws: 2025-05-12 to 2025-05-19 1 draws: 2025-05-19 to 2025-05-20 7 draws: 2025-05-20 to 2025-05-27 4 draws: 2025-05-27 to 2025-05-31 7 draws: 2025-05-31 to 2025-06-07 5 draws: 2025-06-07 to 2025-06-12 11 draws: 2025-06-12 to 2025-06-23 5 draws: 2025-06-23 to 2025-06-28 2 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-06-30 8 draws: 2025-06-30 to 2025-07-08 1 draws: 2025-07-08 to 2025-07-09 8 draws: 2025-07-09 to 2025-07-17 2 draws: 2025-07-17 to 2025-07-19 4 draws: 2025-07-19 to 2025-07-23 2 draws: 2025-07-23 to 2025-07-25 3 draws: 2025-07-25 to 2025-07-28 2 draws: 2025-07-28 to 2025-07-30 2 draws: 2025-07-30 to 2025-08-01 11 draws: 2025-08-01 to 2025-08-12 1 draws: 2025-08-12 to 2025-08-13 6 draws: 2025-08-13 to 2025-08-19 11 draws: 2025-08-19 to 2025-08-30 9 draws: 2025-08-30 to 2025-09-08 2 draws: 2025-09-08 to 2025-09-10 2 draws: 2025-09-10 to 2025-09-12 7 draws: 2025-09-12 to 2025-09-19 10 draws: 2025-09-19 to 2025-09-29 13 draws: 2025-09-29 to 2025-10-13 22 draws: 2025-10-13 to 2025-11-05 15 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-29 2 draws: 2025-11-29 to 2025-12-01 13 draws: 2025-12-01 to 2025-12-14 11 draws: 2025-12-14 to 2025-12-26 1 draws: 2025-12-26 to 2025-12-27 20 draws: 2025-12-27 to 2026-01-16 4 draws: 2026-01-16 to 2026-01-20 12 draws: 2026-01-20 to 2026-02-01 4 draws: 2026-02-01 to 2026-02-05 6 draws: 2026-02-05 to 2026-02-11 5 draws: 2026-02-11 to 2026-02-16 7 draws: 2026-02-16 to 2026-02-23 11 draws: 2026-02-23 to 2026-03-06 2 draws: 2026-03-06 to 2026-03-08 5 draws: 2026-03-08 to 2026-03-13 2 draws: 2026-03-13 to 2026-03-15 8 draws: 2026-03-15 to 2026-03-23 12 draws: 2026-03-23 to 2026-04-04 10 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-14 6 draws: 2026-04-14 to 2026-04-20 6 draws: 2026-04-20 to 2026-04-26 15 draws: 2026-04-26 to 2026-05-11 12 draws: 2026-05-11 to 2026-05-23 18 draws: 2026-05-23 to 2026-06-10 13 draws: 2026-06-10 to 2026-06-23 16 draws: 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-09 7 draws: 2026-07-09 to 2026-07-17 3 draws: 2026-07-17 to 2026-07-20 13 draws: 2026-07-20 to 2026-08-02 13 draws: 2026-08-02 to 2026-08-15 10 draws: 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-25 11 draws: 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-05 8 draws: 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-13 4 draws: 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-17 24 draws: 2026-09-17 to 2026-10-11 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-10-11 2024-10-02 2024-10-10 2024-10-12 2024-10-15 2024-10-17 2024-10-29 2024-11-05 2024-11-21 2024-12-03 2024-12-09 2024-12-19 2024-12-22 2024-12-24 2024-12-25 2025-01-07 2025-01-12 2025-01-16 2025-01-19 2025-01-31 2025-02-03 2025-02-11 2025-02-28 2025-03-01 2025-03-20 2025-04-04 2025-04-13 2025-04-25 2025-05-12 2025-05-19 2025-05-20 2025-05-27 2025-05-31 2025-06-07 2025-06-12 2025-06-23 2025-06-28 2025-06-30 2025-07-08 2025-07-09 2025-07-17 2025-07-19 2025-07-23 2025-07-25 2025-07-28 2025-07-30 2025-08-01 2025-08-12 2025-08-13 2025-08-19 2025-08-30 2025-09-08 2025-09-10 2025-09-12 2025-09-19 2025-09-29 2025-10-13 2025-11-05 2025-11-29 2025-12-01 2025-12-14 2025-12-26 2025-12-27 2026-01-16 2026-01-20 2026-02-01 2026-02-05 2026-02-11 2026-02-16 2026-02-23 2026-03-06 2026-03-08 2026-03-13 2026-03-15 2026-03-23 2026-04-04 2026-04-14 2026-04-20 2026-04-26 2026-05-11 2026-05-23 2026-06-10 2026-06-23 2026-07-09 2026-07-17 2026-07-20 2026-08-02 2026-08-15 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 2026-09-13 2026-09-17 2026-10-11 2024-09-25 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 6 times 2 draws: 13 times 3 draws: 6 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 7 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 6 times 12 draws: 7 times 13 draws: 6 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 7 · chance 9.9 2nd smallest 36 · chance 31.7 3rd smallest 34 · chance 34.0 4th smallest 9 · chance 14.4 5th smallest 6 · chance 2.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 16 Every number number 18 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.