Number 30

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

86times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.66σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number

8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

41longest completed wait · 34% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 86 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.66σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 86 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.2
2nd smallest5 · chance 3.6
3rd smallest15 · chance 19.1
4th smallest40 · chance 38.2
5th smallest25 · chance 24.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 5 18 28 8 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-28	8	4th	15 24 28 30 36
2026-09-20	20	4th	2 18 25 30 33
2026-08-31	2	5th	5 13 14 20 30
2026-08-29	2	5th	8 12 16 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-02-11	1	5th	10 17 21 22 30
2026-02-10	5	4th	13 14 22 30 37
2026-02-05	3	4th	5 17 18 30 34
2026-02-02	10	4th	8 10 18 30 37
2026-01-23	15	5th	5 8 21 28 30
2026-01-08	5	5th	2 11 12 25 30
2026-01-03	3	5th	10 11 18 23 30
2025-12-31	20	3rd	21 28 30 31 39
2025-12-10	1	3rd	8 18 30 34 39
2025-12-09	8	5th	1 2 5 18 30
2025-12-01	1	4th	2 17 24 30 40
2025-11-30	12	4th	9 13 14 30 37
2025-11-18	1	4th	12 19 20 30 38
2025-11-17	5	4th	8 27 28 30 34
2025-11-03	2	2nd	9 30 34 38 40
2025-11-01	17	4th	20 28 29 30 38
2025-10-14	12	5th	10 11 15 16 30
2025-10-01	36	4th	5 11 16 30 31
2025-08-26	10	3rd	9 18 30 38 39
2025-08-16	7	2nd	19 30 33 37 39
2025-08-09	1	3rd	4 7 30 34 38
2025-08-08	2	3rd	15 20 30 34 40
2025-08-06	3	4th	4 8 29 30 37
2025-08-03	7	4th	1 9 27 30 39
2025-07-27	5	5th	10 14 25 27 30
2025-07-22	16	5th	6 8 11 29 30
2025-07-06	2	4th	16 26 28 30 33
2025-07-04	1	4th	4 11 13 30 37
2025-07-03	1	3rd	25 27 30 37 39
2025-07-02	1	4th	5 7 23 30 32
2025-07-01	6	4th	8 16 18 30 40
2025-06-25	13	4th	2 16 18 30 32
2025-06-12	15	5th	4 6 17 26 30
2025-05-28	12	4th	6 21 24 30 37
2025-05-16	4	4th	18 26 28 30 35
2025-05-12	8	5th	12 17 21 29 30
2025-05-04	9	4th	19 28 29 30 33
2025-04-25	5	5th	2 13 17 28 30
2025-04-20	1	5th	6 9 16 19 30
2025-04-19	4	4th	4 26 29 30 35
2025-04-15	5	5th	9 12 19 21 30
2025-04-10	11	2nd	21 30 35 37 38
2025-03-30	17	2nd	10 30 33 37 40
2025-03-13	36	5th	13 22 23 28 30
2025-02-05	13	5th	10 18 19 27 30
2025-01-23	2	4th	3 5 6 30 34
2025-01-21	23	4th	3 10 24 30 33
2024-12-29	11	4th	1 9 18 30 39
2024-12-18	4	4th	8 14 22 30 37
2024-12-14	18	4th	5 7 25 30 39
2024-11-26	8	4th	5 19 29 30 38
2024-11-18	4	4th	18 19 23 30 40
2024-11-14	9	5th	3 9 23 25 30
2024-11-05	2	5th	4 5 17 27 30
2024-11-03	4	3rd	1 8 30 37 40
2024-10-30	3	3rd	10 12 30 36 38
2024-10-27	8	4th	5 10 18 30 32
2024-10-19	3	4th	7 11 13 30 31
2024-10-16	4	3rd	7 19 30 37 39
2024-10-12	2	4th	5 14 17 30 33
2024-10-10	7	4th	15 17 25 30 33
2024-10-03	—	3rd	2 25 30 32 37