Number 22

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

76times drawn · chance expected 92 −1.77σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number

9.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

50longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 76 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −1.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 76 times in 735 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 2.8
2nd smallest21 · chance 15.8
3rd smallest33 · chance 29.7
4th smallest16 · chance 22.1
5th smallest4 · chance 5.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 28 9 19 40 25

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	1	3rd	5 11 22 26 35
2026-10-08	5	3rd	9 20 22 32 35
2026-10-03	2	4th	10 15 18 22 31
2026-10-01	12	3rd	3 21 22 34 36
2026-09-19	50	2nd	5 22 29 33 40
2026-07-31	4	3rd	5 9 22 24 25
2026-07-27	10	3rd	6 9 22 30 37
2026-07-17	17	3rd	3 17 22 36 39
2026-06-29	12	2nd	4 22 25 31 37
2026-06-17	20	2nd	4 22 28 31 40
2026-05-28	5	3rd	11 21 22 25 34
2026-05-23	19	4th	12 15 17 22 31
2026-05-04	3	3rd	10 19 22 27 40
2026-05-01	10	3rd	18 20 22 28 38
2026-04-21	2	3rd	7 10 22 28 32
2026-04-19	3	2nd	21 22 28 32 37
2026-04-16	10	3rd	1 15 22 36 37
2026-04-06	8	3rd	16 20 22 34 38
2026-03-29	4	2nd	8 22 28 30 38
2026-03-25	14	1st	22 25 32 33 38
2026-03-11	2	4th	9 14 18 22 28
2026-03-09	18	3rd	10 20 22 28 30
2026-02-19	8	5th	3 4 14 16 22
2026-02-11	1	4th	10 17 21 22 30

The other 52 appearances

2026-02-10	24	3rd	13 14 22 30 37
2026-01-17	18	4th	4 7 11 22 26
2025-12-30	8	2nd	11 22 23 25 39
2025-12-22	3	4th	8 13 16 22 27
2025-12-18	14	3rd	3 21 22 26 36
2025-12-04	8	4th	3 16 18 22 34
2025-11-26	3	2nd	11 22 36 38 40
2025-11-23	1	3rd	15 21 22 23 40
2025-11-22	3	3rd	4 19 22 24 28
2025-11-19	12	2nd	16 22 23 26 40
2025-10-29	35	3rd	11 19 22 23 26
2025-09-22	6	3rd	5 19 22 33 39
2025-09-16	3	4th	15 18 20 22 39
2025-09-13	4	2nd	8 22 24 25 38
2025-09-09	25	3rd	2 8 22 31 32
2025-08-15	21	3rd	2 8 22 23 38
2025-07-25	2	3rd	12 17 22 38 40
2025-07-23	2	5th	3 5 13 17 22
2025-07-21	10	2nd	3 22 32 37 40
2025-07-11	27	2nd	18 22 26 27 38
2025-06-14	1	2nd	12 22 24 36 40
2025-06-13	3	2nd	14 22 23 32 40
2025-06-10	2	2nd	9 22 25 33 40
2025-06-08	9	2nd	15 22 24 38 39
2025-05-30	4	3rd	2 10 22 26 37
2025-05-26	1	2nd	2 22 26 36 38
2025-05-25	3	5th	7 9 10 19 22
2025-05-22	21	2nd	4 22 25 35 39
2025-05-01	5	3rd	16 21 22 27 34
2025-04-26	4	2nd	9 22 27 28 38
2025-04-22	6	4th	1 8 18 22 28
2025-04-16	11	4th	7 8 9 22 36
2025-04-05	1	3rd	4 9 22 34 37
2025-04-04	18	4th	8 17 19 22 38
2025-03-17	4	3rd	19 21 22 35 40
2025-03-13	9	2nd	13 22 23 28 30
2025-03-04	6	3rd	6 7 22 37 38
2025-02-26	6	4th	2 11 18 22 28
2025-02-20	10	3rd	1 9 22 26 31
2025-02-10	9	4th	6 9 19 22 23
2025-02-01	4	4th	1 18 19 22 25
2025-01-28	11	1st	22 25 27 35 38
2025-01-17	7	3rd	9 10 22 28 34
2025-01-10	15	3rd	12 19 22 28 40
2024-12-26	8	4th	3 19 20 22 25
2024-12-18	36	3rd	8 14 22 30 37
2024-11-12	15	4th	7 15 19 22 29
2024-10-28	4	5th	7 9 10 11 22
2024-10-24	1	3rd	4 14 22 23 28
2024-10-23	16	2nd	11 22 25 26 37
2024-10-07	11	3rd	3 14 22 26 34
2024-09-26	—	2nd	19 22 26 35 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

VinciCasa · every number