Number 40

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

93times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.13σ

23draws waiting · a wait this long: 5% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

34longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 93 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 23 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 93 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 23 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest93 · chance 93.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36 26 12 22 37 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	1	5th	5 22 29 33 40
2026-09-18	24	5th	5 10 25 26 40
2026-08-25	3	5th	1 16 17 29 40
2026-08-22	13	5th	6 13 29 33

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-12	8	5th	9 20 25 26 40
2026-04-04	9	5th	13 17 23 36 40
2026-03-26	11	5th	1 28 36 37 40
2026-03-15	3	5th	17 23 34 37 40
2026-03-12	7	5th	4 19 20 38 40
2026-03-05	3	5th	31 33 37 39 40
2026-03-02	5	5th	14 19 31 35 40
2026-02-25	8	5th	8 29 34 36 40
2026-02-17	27	5th	12 15 21 36 40
2026-01-21	23	5th	5 6 7 10 40
2025-12-29	8	5th	2 18 32 36 40
2025-12-21	1	5th	2 16 35 36 40
2025-12-19	2	5th	5 8 11 27 40
2025-12-17	16	5th	5 15 25 29 40
2025-12-01	5	5th	2 17 24 30 40
2025-11-26	2	5th	11 22 36 38 40
2025-11-24	1	5th	13 21 26 37 40
2025-11-23	4	5th	15 21 22 23 40
2025-11-19	7	5th	16 22 23 26 40
2025-11-03	34	5th	9 30 34 38 40
2025-09-28	2	5th	1 9 13 27 40
2025-09-26	18	5th	11 18 21 27 40
2025-09-08	2	5th	1 7 17 20 40
2025-09-06	9	5th	2 3 7 10 40
2025-08-28	4	5th	1 7 12 32 40
2025-08-24	3	5th	4 5 8 34 40
2025-08-21	13	5th	19 23 28 31 40
2025-08-08	4	5th	15 20 30 34 40
2025-08-04	4	5th	1 4 20 25 40
2025-07-31	6	5th	9 12 21 25 40
2025-07-25	1	5th	12 17 22 38 40
2025-07-24	3	5th	10 12 14 26 40
2025-07-21	14	5th	3 22 32 37 40
2025-07-07	6	5th	2 6 38 39 40
2025-07-01	13	5th	8 16 18 30 40
2025-06-18	4	5th	2 8 19 35 40
2025-06-14	1	5th	12 22 24 36 40
2025-06-13	3	5th	14 22 23 32 40
2025-06-10	18	5th	9 22 25 33 40
2025-05-23	4	5th	11 14 26 32 40
2025-05-19	2	5th	8 17 27 38 40
2025-05-17	11	5th	12 18 24 32 40
2025-05-06	15	5th	26 28 36 37 40
2025-04-21	15	5th	10 19 33 34 40
2025-04-06	7	5th	6 13 14 26 40
2025-03-30	2	5th	10 30 33 37 40
2025-03-28	1	5th	3 4 16 39 40
2025-03-27	10	5th	19 23 24 36 40
2025-03-17	10	5th	19 21 22 35 40
2025-03-07	2	5th	6 19 23 36 40
2025-03-05	15	5th	28 32 35 36 40
2025-02-18	4	5th	8 12 16 38 40
2025-02-14	1	5th	9 11 13 33 40
2025-02-13	13	5th	2 7 9 26 40
2025-01-31	21	5th	17 25 26 32 40
2025-01-10	19	5th	12 19 22 28 40
2024-12-22	18	5th	2 4 17 36 40
2024-12-04	1	5th	5 7 10 38 40
2024-12-03	15	5th	17 25 26 34 40
2024-11-18	3	5th	18 19 23 30 40
2024-11-15	4	5th	4 19 20 36 40
2024-11-11	4	5th	12 13 20 25 40
2024-11-07	3	5th	2 4 9 37 40
2024-11-04	1	5th	2 20 25 27 40
2024-11-03	14	5th	1 8 30 37 40
2024-10-20	12	5th	5 23 34 39 40
2024-10-08	3	5th	3 14 29 32 40
2024-10-05	5	5th	8 21 34 35 40
2024-09-30	—	5th	16 21 26 27 40