Number 16

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

88times drawn · chance expected 92 −0.43σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number

8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

45longest completed wait · 22% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 88 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 88 times in 735 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest10 · chance 11.4
2nd smallest31 · chance 32.5
3rd smallest31 · chance 31.0
4th smallest14 · chance 11.7
5th smallest2 · chance 1.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 2 34 10 18 26

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-06	9	4th	1 9 14 16 29
2026-09-27	2	2nd	6 16 18 25 28
2026-09-25	10	3rd	10 14 16 27 36
2026-09-15	2	4th	3 7 10 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-09	2	3rd	7 15 16 28 39
2026-04-07	1	4th	2 9 12 16 29
2026-04-06	3	1st	16 20 22 34 38
2026-04-03	7	3rd	10 12 16 20 34
2026-03-27	3	5th	2 11 14 15 16
2026-03-24	24	5th	4 5 8 12 16
2026-02-28	2	1st	16 25 27 32 38
2026-02-26	5	3rd	9 15 16 24 28
2026-02-21	2	3rd	3 11 16 31 34
2026-02-19	5	4th	3 4 14 16 22
2026-02-14	5	2nd	9 16 18 25 31
2026-02-09	1	2nd	2 16 21 25 34
2026-02-08	12	3rd	2 12 16 33 38
2026-01-27	1	4th	7 8 13 16 25
2026-01-26	11	4th	3 9 10 16 21
2026-01-15	19	3rd	11 14 16 27 39
2025-12-27	5	2nd	10 16 17 29 31
2025-12-22	1	3rd	8 13 16 22 27
2025-12-21	4	2nd	2 16 35 36 40
2025-12-16	1	3rd	4 9 16 18 23
2025-12-15	3	2nd	12 16 19 26 32
2025-12-12	8	2nd	7 16 20 25 27
2025-12-04	15	2nd	3 16 18 22 34
2025-11-19	16	1st	16 22 23 26 40
2025-10-25	10	4th	4 11 15 16 32
2025-10-14	12	4th	10 11 15 16 30
2025-10-01	1	3rd	5 11 16 30 31
2025-09-30	5	2nd	9 16 32 33 35
2025-09-25	8	3rd	3 7 16 27 39
2025-09-17	30	3rd	2 9 16 32 36
2025-08-18	1	3rd	2 10 16 31 37
2025-08-17	5	3rd	1 8 16 19 20
2025-08-12	37	2nd	3 16 17 19 26
2025-07-06	5	1st	16 26 28 30 33
2025-07-01	6	2nd	8 16 18 30 40
2025-06-25	2	2nd	2 16 18 30 32
2025-06-23	27	2nd	5 16 17 26 31
2025-05-27	22	4th	5 11 14 16 17
2025-05-05	2	2nd	6 16 20 29 32
2025-05-03	2	2nd	8 16 19 31 34
2025-05-01	11	1st	16 21 22 27 34
2025-04-20	6	3rd	6 9 16 19 30
2025-04-14	17	2nd	15 16 23 24 38
2025-03-28	8	3rd	3 4 16 39 40
2025-03-20	1	2nd	13 16 17 26 34
2025-03-19	8	3rd	9 13 16 20 23
2025-03-11	17	3rd	1 13 16 34 38
2025-02-22	3	3rd	4 9 16 36 39
2025-02-19	1	3rd	2 6 16 24 33
2025-02-18	3	3rd	8 12 16 38 40
2025-02-15	11	4th	8 10 12 16 18
2025-02-04	2	4th	6 8 10 16 34
2025-02-02	7	2nd	5 16 19 26 29
2025-01-26	24	1st	16 18 21 26 31
2025-01-02	21	2nd	13 16 21 38 39
2024-12-12	11	3rd	4 11 16 19 27
2024-12-01	11	3rd	7 14 16 18 23
2024-11-20	4	3rd	3 9 16 23 32
2024-11-16	7	4th	4 13 14 16 27
2024-11-09	18	3rd	2 11 16 28 34
2024-10-22	13	2nd	12 16 21 28 37
2024-10-09	3	2nd	2 16 27 33 39
2024-10-06	6	2nd	13 16 24 32 36
2024-09-30	—	1st	16 21 26 27 40