Number 23

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

107times drawn · chance expected 92 +1.69σ

31draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number

6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

47longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 107 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +1.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 31 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 107 times in 735 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 31 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 3.1
2nd smallest14 · chance 19.5
3rd smallest46 · chance 40.9
4th smallest29 · chance 34.1
5th smallest14 · chance 9.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 20 14 19 7 8

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-11	3	3rd	8 9 23 31 33
2026-09-08	9	3rd	1 20 23 24 38
2026-08-30	2	3rd	3 12 23 24 31
2026-08-28	5	5th	3 4 7 20

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-28	3	4th	3 6 20 23 32
2026-04-25	10	4th	3 13 14 23 32
2026-04-15	11	1st	23 26 27 34 35
2026-04-04	3	3rd	13 17 23 36 40
2026-04-01	4	3rd	2 6 23 34 36
2026-03-28	5	2nd	10 23 33 38 39
2026-03-23	4	3rd	7 17 23 27 35
2026-03-19	4	4th	8 11 21 23 35
2026-03-15	8	2nd	17 23 34 37 40
2026-03-07	4	1st	23 26 27 29 38
2026-03-03	7	4th	6 11 14 23 39
2026-02-24	9	4th	12 19 20 23 25
2026-02-15	9	4th	1 5 15 23 33
2026-02-06	7	3rd	12 18 23 32 34
2026-01-30	6	5th	1 19 20 21 23
2026-01-24	2	2nd	1 23 25 26 32
2026-01-22	2	3rd	4 21 23 25 28
2026-01-20	17	4th	2 6 17 23 27
2026-01-03	4	4th	10 11 18 23 30
2025-12-30	2	3rd	11 22 23 25 39
2025-12-28	11	5th	7 11 18 20 23
2025-12-16	14	5th	4 9 16 18 23
2025-12-02	9	1st	23 28 32 35 36
2025-11-23	4	4th	15 21 22 23 40
2025-11-19	6	3rd	16 22 23 26 40
2025-11-04	6	5th	4 6 10 14 23
2025-10-29	2	4th	11 19 22 23 26
2025-10-27	1	3rd	4 14 23 28 34
2025-10-26	3	1st	23 32 35 37 38
2025-10-23	6	5th	2 5 14 20 23
2025-10-16	8	5th	1 8 9 18 23
2025-10-07	1	3rd	7 13 23 27 28
2025-10-06	4	3rd	14 19 23 24 25
2025-10-02	21	3rd	5 8 23 33 35
2025-09-11	7	5th	1 9 13 20 23
2025-09-04	1	3rd	8 14 23 31 37
2025-09-03	13	4th	2 5 11 23 25
2025-08-21	6	2nd	19 23 28 31 40
2025-08-15	5	4th	2 8 22 23 38
2025-08-10	3	5th	3 14 15 20 23
2025-08-07	2	2nd	11 23 24 28 33
2025-08-05	4	3rd	12 18 23 26 33
2025-08-01	3	4th	4 15 17 23 29
2025-07-29	16	3rd	2 9 23 31 38
2025-07-13	11	3rd	1 20 23 25 34
2025-07-02	5	3rd	5 7 23 30 32
2025-06-27	3	2nd	8 23 25 28 36
2025-06-24	11	4th	3 8 13 23 38
2025-06-13	13	3rd	14 22 23 32 40
2025-05-31	47	4th	7 17 20 23 24
2025-04-14	2	3rd	15 16 23 24 38
2025-04-12	14	2nd	14 23 34 37 38
2025-03-29	2	3rd	5 9 23 25 39
2025-03-27	2	2nd	19 23 24 36 40
2025-03-25	6	3rd	8 9 23 24 36
2025-03-19	6	5th	9 13 16 20 23
2025-03-13	6	3rd	13 22 23 28 30
2025-03-07	4	3rd	6 19 23 36 40
2025-03-03	10	2nd	19 23 32 34 39
2025-02-21	9	4th	8 9 21 23 24
2025-02-12	2	4th	2 6 20 23 34
2025-02-10	14	5th	6 9 19 22 23
2025-01-27	2	3rd	11 20 23 26 39
2025-01-25	7	4th	9 10 14 23 24
2025-01-18	2	3rd	13 18 23 25 38
2025-01-16	3	4th	1 17 19 23 37
2025-01-13	6	3rd	2 12 23 24 37
2025-01-07	7	4th	5 17 18 23 33
2024-12-31	1	4th	2 7 21 23 26
2024-12-30	9	3rd	3 19 23 31 37
2024-12-21	20	3rd	8 10 23 25 35
2024-12-01	1	5th	7 14 16 18 23
2024-11-30	7	5th	2 6 15 19 23
2024-11-23	3	2nd	7 23 27 31 35
2024-11-20	2	4th	3 9 16 23 32
2024-11-18	4	3rd	18 19 23 30 40
2024-11-14	21	3rd	3 9 23 25 30
2024-10-24	3	4th	4 14 22 23 28
2024-10-21	1	3rd	11 13 23 24 38
2024-10-20	5	2nd	5 23 34 39 40
2024-10-15	4	4th	7 8 17 23 34
2024-10-11	7	3rd	1 2 23 34 36
2024-10-04	—	3rd	7 10 23 26 33