Number 12

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

95times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.35σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

35longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 35 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest30 · chance 23.6
2nd smallest39 · chance 41.6
3rd smallest18 · chance 24.0
4th smallest8 · chance 5.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 19 15 34 25 32

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-12	2	3rd	5 7 12 21 25
2026-10-10	3	3rd	4 11 12 25 34
2026-10-07	3	2nd	2 12 26 38 39
2026-10-04	35	1st	12 15 27 35

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-05-06	6	2nd	7 12 19 23 29
2026-04-30	16	2nd	2 12 16 18 35
2026-04-14	7	2nd	10 12 17 29 33
2026-04-07	2	3rd	2 9 12 16 29
2026-04-05	2	3rd	4 7 12 15 32
2026-04-03	10	2nd	10 12 16 20 34
2026-03-24	4	4th	4 5 8 12 16
2026-03-20	2	3rd	1 4 12 15 18
2026-03-18	2	1st	12 20 26 33 39
2026-03-16	20	1st	12 20 34 36 37
2026-02-24	6	1st	12 19 20 23 25
2026-02-18	1	1st	12 19 33 34 36
2026-02-17	9	1st	12 15 21 36 40
2026-02-08	2	2nd	2 12 16 33 38
2026-02-06	28	1st	12 18 23 32 34
2026-01-09	1	4th	2 6 8 12 37
2026-01-08	16	3rd	2 11 12 25 30
2025-12-23	7	4th	1 5 8 12 28
2025-12-15	8	1st	12 16 19 26 32
2025-12-07	9	2nd	5 12 15 25 35
2025-11-28	10	2nd	1 12 14 20 29
2025-11-18	9	1st	12 19 20 30 38
2025-10-31	12	1st	12 15 32 35 38
2025-10-18	9	2nd	5 12 13 20 25
2025-10-08	4	2nd	9 12 14 38 39
2025-10-04	24	4th	2 6 7 12 28
2025-09-10	13	3rd	9 11 12 17 21
2025-08-28	8	3rd	1 7 12 32 40
2025-08-20	7	3rd	1 9 12 26 37
2025-08-13	8	1st	12 17 21 33 38
2025-08-05	3	1st	12 18 23 26 33
2025-08-02	2	2nd	3 12 13 19 37
2025-07-31	6	2nd	9 12 21 25 40
2025-07-25	1	1st	12 17 22 38 40
2025-07-24	4	2nd	10 12 14 26 40
2025-07-20	8	1st	12 25 28 34 35
2025-07-12	22	3rd	5 6 12 31 34
2025-06-20	6	2nd	2 12 21 27 32
2025-06-14	13	1st	12 22 24 36 40
2025-06-01	15	1st	12 15 19 20 36
2025-05-17	2	1st	12 18 24 32 40
2025-05-15	3	2nd	8 12 18 35 37
2025-05-12	24	1st	12 17 21 29 30
2025-04-18	3	2nd	8 12 18 19 34
2025-04-15	4	2nd	9 12 19 21 30
2025-04-11	2	3rd	1 10 12 13 25
2025-04-09	2	2nd	3 12 18 20 26
2025-04-07	12	1st	12 18 19 34 36
2025-03-26	26	2nd	8 12 21 25 26
2025-02-28	3	1st	12 17 26 28 32
2025-02-25	1	2nd	6 12 21 29 31
2025-02-24	6	2nd	6 12 18 20 24
2025-02-18	3	2nd	8 12 16 38 40
2025-02-15	6	3rd	8 10 12 16 18
2025-02-09	10	4th	1 2 10 12 15
2025-01-30	17	3rd	1 4 12 15 27
2025-01-13	3	2nd	2 12 23 24 37
2025-01-10	18	1st	12 19 22 28 40
2024-12-23	3	4th	5 6 8 12 32
2024-12-20	9	1st	12 15 19 29 35
2024-12-11	5	2nd	11 12 24 29 32
2024-12-06	4	4th	4 8 9 12 27
2024-12-02	10	2nd	4 12 15 19 34
2024-11-22	11	3rd	8 10 12 26 36
2024-11-11	11	1st	12 13 20 25 40
2024-10-31	1	2nd	1 12 27 31 34
2024-10-30	5	2nd	10 12 30 36 38
2024-10-25	3	3rd	7 10 12 19 31
2024-10-22	5	1st	12 16 21 28 37
2024-10-17	3	3rd	6 11 12 14 17
2024-10-14	—	2nd	10 12 26 36 37