Number 5

In VinciCasa under the 5/40 · since Sep 2024 rules — 735 draws, 5 from 1–40.

95times drawn · chance expected 92 +0.35σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.0

29longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws against 91.9 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 95 times in 735 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 29 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest60 · chance 60.5
2nd smallest29 · chance 30.2
3rd smallest6 · chance 4.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

30 17 8 25 29 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-12	3	1st	5 7 12 21 25
2026-10-09	16	1st	5 11 22 26 35
2026-09-23	1	2nd	1 5 9 18 24
2026-09-22	3	1st	5 25 26 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/40 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-04-13	20	1st	5 6 27 36 38
2026-03-24	23	2nd	4 5 8 12 16
2026-03-01	6	1st	5 13 15 20 29
2026-02-23	8	1st	5 17 30 36 39
2026-02-15	2	2nd	1 5 15 23 33
2026-02-13	8	1st	5 6 7 20 28
2026-02-05	5	1st	5 17 18 30 34
2026-01-31	3	1st	5 6 9 15 28
2026-01-28	5	1st	5 10 13 18 31
2026-01-23	2	1st	5 8 21 28 30
2026-01-21	29	1st	5 6 7 10 40
2025-12-23	3	2nd	1 5 8 12 28
2025-12-19	2	1st	5 8 11 27 40
2025-12-17	8	1st	5 15 25 29 40
2025-12-09	2	3rd	1 2 5 18 30
2025-12-07	8	1st	5 12 15 25 35
2025-11-29	21	2nd	4 5 9 17 32
2025-10-30	6	2nd	3 5 24 29 39
2025-10-24	1	1st	5 8 9 10 21
2025-10-23	4	2nd	2 5 14 20 23
2025-10-18	6	1st	5 12 13 20 25
2025-10-11	1	2nd	2 5 19 20 25
2025-10-10	8	3rd	1 4 5 13 34
2025-10-02	1	1st	5 8 23 33 35
2025-10-01	2	1st	5 11 16 30 31
2025-09-29	7	2nd	1 5 8 9 17
2025-09-22	3	1st	5 19 22 33 39
2025-09-19	16	1st	5 17 24 29 36
2025-09-03	1	2nd	2 5 11 23 25
2025-09-02	3	1st	5 8 24 29 35
2025-08-30	5	1st	5 11 17 18 37
2025-08-25	1	1st	5 8 13 15 27
2025-08-24	27	2nd	4 5 8 34 40
2025-07-28	5	1st	5 17 21 31 35
2025-07-23	7	2nd	3 5 13 17 22
2025-07-16	2	1st	5 7 9 21 28
2025-07-14	2	1st	5 9 24 25 31
2025-07-12	2	1st	5 6 12 31 34
2025-07-10	1	3rd	1 3 5 21 31
2025-07-09	7	2nd	2 5 6 17 27
2025-07-02	9	1st	5 7 23 30 32
2025-06-23	2	1st	5 16 17 26 31
2025-06-21	4	2nd	3 5 32 34 37
2025-06-17	11	1st	5 9 13 20 39
2025-06-06	10	1st	5 14 15 33 36
2025-05-27	9	1st	5 11 14 16 17
2025-05-18	25	1st	5 24 26 35 37
2025-04-23	25	2nd	4 5 8 26 29
2025-03-29	7	1st	5 9 23 25 39
2025-03-22	12	2nd	4 5 8 14 15
2025-03-10	8	2nd	4 5 21 29 39
2025-03-02	28	2nd	2 5 7 8 10
2025-02-02	10	1st	5 16 19 26 29
2025-01-23	16	2nd	3 5 6 30 34
2025-01-07	2	1st	5 17 18 23 33
2025-01-05	1	3rd	1 4 5 18 24
2025-01-04	7	1st	5 15 26 31 38
2024-12-28	5	1st	5 13 19 28 38
2024-12-23	4	1st	5 6 8 12 32
2024-12-19	3	3rd	2 3 5 17 28
2024-12-16	2	2nd	2 5 6 11 13
2024-12-14	10	1st	5 7 25 30 39
2024-12-04	8	1st	5 7 10 38 40
2024-11-26	21	1st	5 19 29 30 38
2024-11-05	9	2nd	4 5 17 27 30
2024-10-27	7	1st	5 10 18 30 32
2024-10-20	8	1st	5 23 34 39 40
2024-10-12	11	1st	5 14 17 30 33
2024-10-01	2	1st	5 20 21 32 36
2024-09-29	4	2nd	4 5 14 21 35
2024-09-25	—	1st	5 14 29 32 35