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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega Millions · draw
ResultMega Millions
Jackpot$130,000,000
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025draw 145 of 158 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:47 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 July 2026 — its closest relative in 144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 August 2026): 48 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 162 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 178. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 26% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,320 winners, 7% more than the 7.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Mega Ball | 0 | $130,000,000 |
| Match 5 (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $10,000,000 |
| Match 5 (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $5,000,000 |
| Match 5 (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $4,000,000 |
| Match 5 (3x Multiplier) | 0 | $3,000,000 |
| Match 5 (2x Multiplier) | 1 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 0 | $40,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 3 | $30,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 1 | $20,000 |
| Match 4 (10x Multiplier) | 4 | $5,000 |
| Match 4 (5x Multiplier) | 10 | $2,500 |
| Match 4 (4x Multiplier) | 19 | $2,000 |
| Match 4 (3x Multiplier) | 46 | $1,500 |
| Match 4 (2x Multiplier) | 63 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 8 | $2,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 21 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 48 | $800 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 102 | $600 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 165 | $400 |
| Match 3 (10x Multiplier) | 262 | $100 |
| Match 3 (5x Multiplier) | 542 | $50.00 |
| Match 3 (4x Multiplier) | 1,050 |
| $40.00 |
| Match 3 (3x Multiplier) | 2,570 | $30.00 |
| Match 3 (2x Multiplier) | 3,896 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 247 | $100 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 463 | $50.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 956 | $40.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 2,354 | $30.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3,453 | $20.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 1,843 | $70.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 3,632 | $35.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 7,276 | $28.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 18,116 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 27,184 | $14.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 4,403 | $50.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 8,341 | $25.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 16,517 | $20.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 42,245 | $15.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 63,076 | $10.00 |
| Totals | 208,917 | — |