Thunderball · every number · star deck
4
Star 4 In Thunderball under the 5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010 rules — 3,064 draws, 1 from 1–14.
Main numbers Stars 212 times drawn · chance expected 219 −0.48σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
14.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0
56 longest completed wait · 97% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 212 times in 3,064 draws against 218.9 expected, −0.48σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 212 times in 3,064 draws · average wait 14.4 draws · longest completed wait 56 · waiting 1 draws now
12 draws: 2010-02-20 to 2010-04-03 8 draws: 2010-04-03 to 2010-05-01 5 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-15 5 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-05-28 9 draws: 2010-05-28 to 2010-06-18 7 draws: 2010-06-18 to 2010-07-03 4 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-14 9 draws: 2010-07-14 to 2010-08-04 1 draws: 2010-08-04 to 2010-08-06 17 draws: 2010-08-06 to 2010-09-15 25 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-11-12 18 draws: 2010-11-12 to 2010-12-24 6 draws: 2010-12-24 to 2011-01-07 28 draws: 2011-01-07 to 2011-03-12 12 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-04-09 36 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-07-02 28 draws: 2011-07-02 to 2011-09-07 13 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-10-07 29 draws: 2011-10-07 to 2011-12-14 4 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2011-12-23 1 draws: 2011-12-23 to 2011-12-24 9 draws: 2011-12-24 to 2012-01-14 16 draws: 2012-01-14 to 2012-02-22 1 draws: 2012-02-22 to 2012-02-24 15 draws: 2012-02-24 to 2012-03-30 7 draws: 2012-03-30 to 2012-04-14 7 draws: 2012-04-14 to 2012-05-02 17 draws: 2012-05-02 to 2012-06-09 28 draws: 2012-06-09 to 2012-08-15 16 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-09-21 7 draws: 2012-09-21 to 2012-10-06 2 draws: 2012-10-06 to 2012-10-12 1 draws: 2012-10-12 to 2012-10-13 11 draws: 2012-10-13 to 2012-11-09 5 draws: 2012-11-09 to 2012-11-21 10 draws: 2012-11-21 to 2012-12-14 19 draws: 2012-12-14 to 2013-01-26 2 draws: 2013-01-26 to 2013-02-01 8 draws: 2013-02-01 to 2013-02-20 9 draws: 2013-02-20 to 2013-03-13 49 draws: 2013-03-13 to 2013-07-05 8 draws: 2013-07-05 to 2013-07-24 22 draws: 2013-07-24 to 2013-09-13 30 draws: 2013-09-13 to 2013-11-22 21 draws: 2013-11-22 to 2014-01-10 35 draws: 2014-01-10 to 2014-04-02 45 draws: 2014-04-02 to 2014-07-16 1 draws: 2014-07-16 to 2014-07-18 4 draws: 2014-07-18 to 2014-07-26 1 draws: 2014-07-26 to 2014-07-30 1 draws: 2014-07-30 to 2014-08-01 7 draws: 2014-08-01 to 2014-08-16 8 draws: 2014-08-16 to 2014-09-05 1 draws: 2014-09-05 to 2014-09-06 6 draws: 2014-09-06 to 2014-09-20 6 draws: 2014-09-20 to 2014-10-04 2 draws: 2014-10-04 to 2014-10-10 14 draws: 2014-10-10 to 2014-11-12 56 draws: 2014-11-12 to 2015-03-21 3 draws: 2015-03-21 to 2015-03-28 13 draws: 2015-03-28 to 2015-04-29 11 draws: 2015-04-29 to 2015-05-23 4 draws: 2015-05-23 to 2015-06-03 7 draws: 2015-06-03 to 2015-06-19 2 draws: 2015-06-19 to 2015-06-24 9 draws: 2015-06-24 to 2015-07-15 28 draws: 2015-07-15 to 2015-09-18 27 draws: 2015-09-18 to 2015-11-20 3 draws: 2015-11-20 to 2015-11-27 21 draws: 2015-11-27 to 2016-01-15 4 draws: 2016-01-15 to 2016-01-23 10 draws: 2016-01-23 to 2016-02-17 14 draws: 2016-02-17 to 2016-03-19 28 draws: 2016-03-19 to 2016-05-25 28 draws: 2016-05-25 to 2016-07-29 15 draws: 2016-07-29 to 2016-09-02 20 draws: 2016-09-02 to 2016-10-19 3 draws: 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-26 2 draws: 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-29 33 draws: 2016-10-29 to 2017-01-14 5 draws: 2017-01-14 to 2017-01-27 18 draws: 2017-01-27 to 2017-03-10 7 draws: 2017-03-10 to 2017-03-25 26 draws: 2017-03-25 to 2017-05-26 3 draws: 2017-05-26 to 2017-06-02 10 draws: 2017-06-02 to 2017-06-24 7 draws: 2017-06-24 to 2017-07-12 2 draws: 2017-07-12 to 2017-07-15 10 draws: 2017-07-15 to 2017-08-09 4 draws: 2017-08-09 to 2017-08-18 11 draws: 2017-08-18 to 2017-09-13 8 draws: 2017-09-13 to 2017-09-30 13 draws: 2017-09-30 to 2017-11-01 10 draws: 2017-11-01 to 2017-11-24 8 draws: 2017-11-24 to 2017-12-13 4 draws: 2017-12-13 to 2017-12-22 4 draws: 2017-12-22 to 2017-12-30 5 draws: 2017-12-30 to 2018-01-12 9 draws: 2018-01-12 to 2018-01-31 53 draws: 2018-01-31 to 2018-05-04 1 draws: 2018-05-04 to 2018-05-05 7 draws: 2018-05-05 to 2018-05-18 20 draws: 2018-05-18 to 2018-06-22 3 draws: 2018-06-22 to 2018-06-27 3 draws: 2018-06-27 to 2018-07-03 2 draws: 2018-07-03 to 2018-07-06 20 draws: 2018-07-06 to 2018-08-10 16 draws: 2018-08-10 to 2018-09-07 18 draws: 2018-09-07 to 2018-10-09 20 draws: 2018-10-09 to 2018-11-13 35 draws: 2018-11-13 to 2019-01-12 5 draws: 2019-01-12 to 2019-01-22 38 draws: 2019-01-22 to 2019-03-29 1 draws: 2019-03-29 to 2019-03-30 49 draws: 2019-03-30 to 2019-06-25 38 draws: 2019-06-25 to 2019-08-30 11 draws: 2019-08-30 to 2019-09-18 20 draws: 2019-09-18 to 2019-10-23 4 draws: 2019-10-23 to 2019-10-30 1 draws: 2019-10-30 to 2019-11-01 40 draws: 2019-11-01 to 2020-01-10 42 draws: 2020-01-10 to 2020-03-24 7 draws: 2020-03-24 to 2020-04-04 3 draws: 2020-04-04 to 2020-04-10 11 draws: 2020-04-10 to 2020-04-29 18 draws: 2020-04-29 to 2020-05-30 11 draws: 2020-05-30 to 2020-06-19 7 draws: 2020-06-19 to 2020-07-01 8 draws: 2020-07-01 to 2020-07-15 7 draws: 2020-07-15 to 2020-07-28 7 draws: 2020-07-28 to 2020-08-08 28 draws: 2020-08-08 to 2020-09-26 12 draws: 2020-09-26 to 2020-10-17 3 draws: 2020-10-17 to 2020-10-23 3 draws: 2020-10-23 to 2020-10-28 15 draws: 2020-10-28 to 2020-11-24 7 draws: 2020-11-24 to 2020-12-05 19 draws: 2020-12-05 to 2021-01-08 52 draws: 2021-01-08 to 2021-04-09 26 draws: 2021-04-09 to 2021-05-25 16 draws: 2021-05-25 to 2021-06-22 14 draws: 2021-06-22 to 2021-07-16 3 draws: 2021-07-16 to 2021-07-21 4 draws: 2021-07-21 to 2021-07-28 1 draws: 2021-07-28 to 2021-07-30 2 draws: 2021-07-30 to 2021-08-03 33 draws: 2021-08-03 to 2021-09-29 45 draws: 2021-09-29 to 2021-12-17 3 draws: 2021-12-17 to 2021-12-22 3 draws: 2021-12-22 to 2021-12-28 16 draws: 2021-12-28 to 2022-01-25 11 draws: 2022-01-25 to 2022-02-12 12 draws: 2022-02-12 to 2022-03-05 45 draws: 2022-03-05 to 2022-05-24 32 draws: 2022-05-24 to 2022-07-19 4 draws: 2022-07-19 to 2022-07-26 4 draws: 2022-07-26 to 2022-08-02 11 draws: 2022-08-02 to 2022-08-20 3 draws: 2022-08-20 to 2022-08-26 27 draws: 2022-08-26 to 2022-10-12 29 draws: 2022-10-12 to 2022-12-02 12 draws: 2022-12-02 to 2022-12-23 41 draws: 2022-12-23 to 2023-03-04 9 draws: 2023-03-04 to 2023-03-21 5 draws: 2023-03-21 to 2023-03-29 17 draws: 2023-03-29 to 2023-04-28 26 draws: 2023-04-28 to 2023-06-13 6 draws: 2023-06-13 to 2023-06-23 3 draws: 2023-06-23 to 2023-06-28 17 draws: 2023-06-28 to 2023-07-28 11 draws: 2023-07-28 to 2023-08-16 4 draws: 2023-08-16 to 2023-08-23 38 draws: 2023-08-23 to 2023-10-28 21 draws: 2023-10-28 to 2023-12-05 24 draws: 2023-12-05 to 2024-01-16 11 draws: 2024-01-16 to 2024-02-03 17 draws: 2024-02-03 to 2024-03-05 22 draws: 2024-03-05 to 2024-04-12 48 draws: 2024-04-12 to 2024-07-05 22 draws: 2024-07-05 to 2024-08-13 8 draws: 2024-08-13 to 2024-08-27 9 draws: 2024-08-27 to 2024-09-11 14 draws: 2024-09-11 to 2024-10-05 19 draws: 2024-10-05 to 2024-11-08 23 draws: 2024-11-08 to 2024-12-18 8 draws: 2024-12-18 to 2025-01-01 3 draws: 2025-01-01 to 2025-01-07 22 draws: 2025-01-07 to 2025-02-14 4 draws: 2025-02-14 to 2025-02-21 4 draws: 2025-02-21 to 2025-02-28 29 draws: 2025-02-28 to 2025-04-19 18 draws: 2025-04-19 to 2025-05-21 11 draws: 2025-05-21 to 2025-06-10 10 draws: 2025-06-10 to 2025-06-27 11 draws: 2025-06-27 to 2025-07-16 4 draws: 2025-07-16 to 2025-07-23 32 draws: 2025-07-23 to 2025-09-17 23 draws: 2025-09-17 to 2025-10-28 40 draws: 2025-10-28 to 2026-01-06 9 draws: 2026-01-06 to 2026-01-21 4 draws: 2026-01-21 to 2026-01-28 49 draws: 2026-01-28 to 2026-04-24 1 draws: 2026-04-24 to 2026-04-25 28 draws: 2026-04-25 to 2026-06-13 2 draws: 2026-06-13 to 2026-06-17 10 draws: 2026-06-17 to 2026-07-04 34 draws: 2026-07-04 to 2026-09-02 2 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-05 5 draws: 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15 9 draws: 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-30 7 draws: 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-13 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-10-13 2010-02-20 2010-04-03 2010-05-01 2010-05-15 2010-05-28 2010-06-18 2010-07-03 2010-07-14 2010-08-04 2010-08-06 2010-09-15 2010-11-12 2010-12-24 2011-01-07 2011-03-12 2011-04-09 2011-07-02 2011-09-07 2011-10-07 2011-12-14 2011-12-23 2011-12-24 2012-01-14 2012-02-22 2012-02-24 2012-03-30 2012-04-14 2012-05-02 2012-06-09 2012-08-15 2012-09-21 2012-10-06 2012-10-12 2012-10-13 2012-11-09 2012-11-21 2012-12-14 2013-01-26 2013-02-01 2013-02-20 2013-03-13 2013-07-05 2013-07-24 2013-09-13 2013-11-22 2014-01-10 2014-04-02 2014-07-16 2014-07-18 2014-07-26 2014-07-30 2014-08-01 2014-08-16 2014-09-05 2014-09-06 2014-09-20 2014-10-04 2014-10-10 2014-11-12 2015-03-21 2015-03-28 2015-04-29 2015-05-23 2015-06-03 2015-06-19 2015-06-24 2015-07-15 2015-09-18 2015-11-20 2015-11-27 2016-01-15 2016-01-23 2016-02-17 2016-03-19 2016-05-25 2016-07-29 2016-09-02 2016-10-19 2016-10-26 2016-10-29 2017-01-14 2017-01-27 2017-03-10 2017-03-25 2017-05-26 2017-06-02 2017-06-24 2017-07-12 2017-07-15 2017-08-09 2017-08-18 2017-09-13 2017-09-30 2017-11-01 2017-11-24 2017-12-13 2017-12-22 2017-12-30 2018-01-12 2018-01-31 2018-05-04 2018-05-05 2018-05-18 2018-06-22 2018-06-27 2018-07-03 2018-07-06 2018-08-10 2018-09-07 2018-10-09 2018-11-13 2019-01-12 2019-01-22 2019-03-29 2019-03-30 2019-06-25 2019-08-30 2019-09-18 2019-10-23 2019-10-30 2019-11-01 2020-01-10 2020-03-24 2020-04-04 2020-04-10 2020-04-29 2020-05-30 2020-06-19 2020-07-01 2020-07-15 2020-07-28 2020-08-08 2020-09-26 2020-10-17 2020-10-23 2020-10-28 2020-11-24 2020-12-05 2021-01-08 2021-04-09 2021-05-25 2021-06-22 2021-07-16 2021-07-21 2021-07-28 2021-07-30 2021-08-03 2021-09-29 2021-12-17 2021-12-22 2021-12-28 2022-01-25 2022-02-12 2022-03-05 2022-05-24 2022-07-19 2022-07-26 2022-08-02 2022-08-20 2022-08-26 2022-10-12 2022-12-02 2022-12-23 2023-03-04 2023-03-21 2023-03-29 2023-04-28 2023-06-13 2023-06-23 2023-06-28 2023-07-28 2023-08-16 2023-08-23 2023-10-28 2023-12-05 2024-01-16 2024-02-03 2024-03-05 2024-04-12 2024-07-05 2024-08-13 2024-08-27 2024-09-11 2024-10-05 2024-11-08 2024-12-18 2025-01-01 2025-01-07 2025-02-14 2025-02-21 2025-02-28 2025-04-19 2025-05-21 2025-06-10 2025-06-27 2025-07-16 2025-07-23 2025-09-17 2025-10-28 2026-01-06 2026-01-21 2026-01-28 2026-04-24 2026-04-25 2026-06-13 2026-06-17 2026-07-04 2026-09-02 2026-09-05 2026-09-15 2026-09-30 2026-10-13 2010-01-02 2026-10-14
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 10 times 3 draws: 15 times 4 draws: 17 times 5 draws: 8 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 15 times 8 draws: 9 times 9 draws: 10 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 12 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 5 times 17 draws: 5 times 18 draws: 5 times 19 draws: 3 times 20 draws: 5 times 21 draws: 3 times 22 draws: 4 times 23 draws: 2 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 3 times 27 draws: 2 times 28 draws: 8 times 29 draws: 3 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 2 times 33 draws: 2 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 2 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 3 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 2 times 41 draws: 1 time 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 3 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 1 time 49 draws: 3 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 1 time 53 draws: 1 time 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 1 time 57 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 212 · chance 212.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 13 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 14. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 3 Every number star 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/14 tonight whatever it did last week.