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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 15 August 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-08-11 All recent draws 2012-08-17 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 5 20 22 30 32 + 4 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-08-15 Lines in play ≈ 2.0M as the winner counts imply Paid out £913.0K to 160k winning lines Won something 1 in 13 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.25 Where the money went
Match 3 20% £181.5K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 31% £282.3K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 23% £207.5K 5 other tiers 26% £241.7K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.25 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
65times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 391 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 3.2 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 48≈ 42 by chance £250
Match 4 520≈ 549 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,361≈ 1.4k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 14,549≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 3 18,153≈ 18k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 56,461≈ 58k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 69,155≈ 69k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 520 winners, 5% fewer than the 549 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.