LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 16 July 2014

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 39
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 692 of 3,063 under them

← 2014-07-12All recent draws2014-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 25 29 30 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

1898times
2588times
2991times
30101times
39

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£802.8Kto 147k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£131.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£263.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£200.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%£207.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

85times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

447times

Every number was expected about that many times after 691 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 29, 30) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2014 — its closest relative in 691 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2014): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 41 by chance£250
  • Match 4355≈ 532 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,031≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,528≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,149≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,638≈ 56k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,982≈ 67k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 355 winners, 33% fewer than the 532 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,982£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,638£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,528£10.00
    Match 313,149£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,031£20.00
    Match 4355£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000