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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 20 August 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,198 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-08-19All recent draws2022-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 29 34 35 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 282 of each

4300times
15288times
29301times
34301times
35

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-20

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£858.1Kto 151k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£147.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£274.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£196.6K
  • 5 other tiers28%£240.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

251times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 157 of each

4158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,197 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 29, 34, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 November 2019 — its closest relative in 2,197 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2022): 4, 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 3.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball55≈ 40 by chance£250
  • Match 4439≈ 520 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,253≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,224≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,723≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball54,869≈ 55k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball65,529≈ 66k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 439 winners, 16% fewer than the 520 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball65,529£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball54,869£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,224£10.00
    Match 314,723£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,253£20.00
    Match 4439£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball55£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000