LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 12 October 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 27
  5. 39
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 417 of 3,062 under them

← 2012-10-10All recent draws2012-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 15 20 27 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

73oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

1249times
1558times
2062times
2751times
39

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-12

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£530.6Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£96.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£167.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£124.4K
  • 5 other tiers27%£141.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

432times

Every number was expected about that many times after 416 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 15, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 October 2012 — its closest relative in 416 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4312≈ 329 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball774≈ 836 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,530≈ 8.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,679≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,549≈ 35k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,461≈ 41k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,679 winners, 11% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,461£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,549£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,530£10.00
    Match 39,679£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball774£20.00
    Match 4312£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000