LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 17 February 2016

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 29
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 941 of 3,062 under them

← 2016-02-13All recent draws2016-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 17 19 29 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd99th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 121 of each

1114times
15117times
17127times
19126times
29

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-17

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£856.1Kto 144k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£171.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£254.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£182.0K
  • 5 other tiers29%£248.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

125times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

472times

Every number was expected about that many times after 940 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 17, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 February 2016 — its closest relative in 940 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 February 2016): 29 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

81

The numbers add up to 81 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 2.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43≈ 37 by chance£250
  • Match 4530≈ 482 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,262≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 317,122≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,961≈ 51k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,660≈ 61k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,337 winners, 9% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,660£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,961£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,262£10.00
    Match 317,122£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,337£20.00
    Match 4530£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000