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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 27 August 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 9
  5. 34
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,619 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-08-24All recent draws2024-08-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 6 9 34 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 336 of each

3327times
5332times
6349times
9313times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-27

  • Lines in play≈ 975kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£463.3Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£100.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£140.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£101.0K
  • 4 other tiers26%£120.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

352times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

4181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,618 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 6, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 May 2017 — its closest relative in 2,618 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 August 2024): 5, 34 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

57

The numbers add up to 57 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 21 by chance£250
  • Match 4303≈ 267 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball686≈ 679 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,305≈ 7.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,060≈ 8.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28,182≈ 28k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball33,661≈ 34k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈975k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,060 winners, 14% more than the 8.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball33,661£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28,182£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,305£10.00
    Match 310,060£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball686£20.00
    Match 4303£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000