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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 31 January 2018 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2018-01-30 All recent draws 2018-02-02 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 13 18 23 37 38 + 4 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2018-01-31 Lines in play ≈ 1.7M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.2M to 126k winning lines Won something 1 in 14 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.21 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 43% £500.0K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 19% £220.3K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 15% £177.2K 6 other tiers 24% £277.2K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.21 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
146times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,247 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 2.8 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 20≈ 36 by chance £250
Match 4 293≈ 469 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 932≈ 1.2k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 10,159≈ 13k by chance £10.00
Match 3 11,265≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 44,059≈ 49k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 59,065≈ 59k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,265 winners, 27% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.