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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 5 October 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 26
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,642 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-10-04All recent draws2024-10-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 22 23 26 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 339 of each

2336times
14313times
22353times
23327times
26

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£890.2Kto 149k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£182.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£265.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£184.2K
  • 5 other tiers29%£257.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

353times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 189 of each

4183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,641 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 22, 23, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 November 2016 — its closest relative in 2,641 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2024): 23 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44≈ 38 by chance£250
  • Match 4586≈ 488 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,336≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,108≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 318,287≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,150≈ 51k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball61,400≈ 61k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,287 winners, 14% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball61,400£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,150£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,108£10.00
    Match 318,287£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,336£20.00
    Match 4586£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000