LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 18 August 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 23
  4. 26
  5. 28
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,176 of 3,062 under them

← 2017-08-16All recent draws2017-08-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 23 26 28 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 151 of each

4154times
12136times
23155times
26150times
28

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball44%£500.0K
  • Match 311%£130.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£188.1K
  • 6 other tiers29%£326.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

153times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each

490times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,175 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 26, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,175 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball42≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4411≈ 318 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,179≈ 806 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,117≈ 8.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,055≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,626≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,002≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,179 winners, 46% more than the 806 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,002£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,626£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,117£10.00
    Match 313,055£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,179£20.00
    Match 4411£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball42£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000